ZNR

Zendikar Rising

Zendikar Rising Draft Booster

▼ -0.04%
since last update
Box EV $127.73 ±$26.65 Pack EV $3.55 ±$4.44 Packs per Box 36 Last Updated Jun 7, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $127.73
$101 $128 $154
Pack Expected Value: $3.55
Deviation: ±$4.44
Packs per Box: 36

EV Trend

Percent Change:
▼ -0.04%
Dollar Change:
▼ $-0.05

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Malakir Rebirth // Malakir Mire $0.33 $11.90 9.3% 9.3% Uncommon No
2 Bala Ged Recovery // Bala Ged Sanctuary $0.25 $8.97 7.0% 7.0% Uncommon No
3 Sea Gate Restoration // Sea Gate, Reborn $0.23 $8.35 6.5% 6.5% Mythic No
4 Valakut Awakening // Valakut Stoneforge $0.16 $5.77 4.5% 4.5% Rare No
5 Agadeem's Awakening // Agadeem, the Undercrypt $0.15 $5.35 4.2% 4.2% Mythic No
6 Maddening Cacophony $0.08 $2.93 2.3% 2.3% Rare Yes
7 Glasspool Mimic // Glasspool Shore $0.08 $2.78 2.2% 2.2% Rare No
8 Sejiri Shelter // Sejiri Glacier $0.06 $2.11 1.6% 1.6% Uncommon No
9 Angel of Destiny $0.06 $2.11 1.6% 1.6% Mythic No
10 Shatterskull Smashing // Shatterskull, the Hammer Pass $0.06 $2.16 1.7% 1.7% Mythic No
11 Ashaya, Soul of the Wild $0.06 $2.05 1.6% 1.6% Mythic No
12 Ancient Greenwarden $0.06 $2.10 1.6% 1.6% Mythic No
13 Lithoform Engine $0.05 $1.76 1.4% 1.4% Mythic No
14 Riverglide Pathway // Lavaglide Pathway $0.05 $1.92 1.5% 1.5% Rare No
15 Soul Shatter $0.04 $1.55 1.2% 1.2% Rare No
16 Needleverge Pathway // Pillarverge Pathway $0.04 $1.36 1.1% 1.1% Rare No
17 Ruin Crab $0.04 $1.38 1.1% 1.1% Uncommon No
18 Moraug, Fury of Akoum $0.04 $1.34 1.1% 1.1% Mythic No
19 Clearwater Pathway // Murkwater Pathway $0.04 $1.37 1.1% 1.1% Rare No
20 Cragcrown Pathway // Timbercrown Pathway $0.04 $1.27 1.0% 1.0% Rare No

These top 20 cards contribute 53.7% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.