ZNR

Zendikar Rising

Zendikar Rising Collector Booster

▲ +0.21%
since last update
Box EV $143.09 ±$29.56 Pack EV $11.92 ±$8.53 Packs per Box 12 Last Updated Jun 6, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $143.09
$114 $143 $173
Pack Expected Value: $11.92
Deviation: ±$8.53
Packs per Box: 12

EV Trend

Percent Change:
▲ +0.21%
Dollar Change:
▲ +$0.30

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Sea Gate Restoration // Sea Gate, Reborn $0.57 $6.82 4.8% 4.8% Mythic No
2 Riverglide Pathway // Lavaglide Pathway $0.41 $4.91 3.4% 3.4% Rare No
3 Valakut Awakening // Valakut Stoneforge $0.40 $4.79 3.4% 3.4% Rare No
4 Agadeem's Awakening // Agadeem, the Undercrypt $0.39 $4.72 3.3% 3.3% Mythic No
5 Moraug, Fury of Akoum $0.34 $4.12 2.9% 2.9% Mythic Yes
6 Scute Swarm $0.31 $3.78 2.6% 2.6% Rare No
7 Clearwater Pathway // Murkwater Pathway $0.30 $3.59 2.5% 2.5% Rare No
8 Ancient Greenwarden $0.27 $3.24 2.3% 2.3% Mythic No
9 Brightclimb Pathway // Grimclimb Pathway $0.26 $3.12 2.2% 2.2% Rare No
10 Needleverge Pathway // Pillarverge Pathway $0.26 $3.15 2.2% 2.2% Rare No
11 Sea Gate Restoration // Sea Gate, Reborn $0.25 $3.00 2.1% 2.1% Mythic Yes
12 Cragcrown Pathway // Timbercrown Pathway $0.25 $2.95 2.1% 2.1% Rare No
13 Ashaya, Soul of the Wild $0.24 $2.82 2.0% 2.0% Mythic Yes
14 Malakir Rebirth // Malakir Mire $0.23 $2.82 2.0% 2.0% Uncommon Yes
15 Branchloft Pathway // Boulderloft Pathway $0.21 $2.58 1.8% 1.8% Rare No
16 Bala Ged Recovery // Bala Ged Sanctuary $0.20 $2.46 1.7% 1.7% Uncommon Yes
17 Lotus Cobra $0.20 $2.35 1.6% 1.6% Rare No
18 Glasspool Mimic // Glasspool Shore $0.20 $2.36 1.6% 1.6% Rare Yes
19 Angel of Destiny $0.19 $2.25 1.6% 1.6% Mythic Yes
20 Maddening Cacophony $0.19 $2.22 1.6% 1.6% Rare Yes

These top 20 cards contribute 47.5% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.