XLN
Ixalan
Ixalan Draft Booster
▼
-0.13%
since last update
Box EV $97.90 | Pack EV $2.72 | Packs per Box 36 | Last Updated May 29, 2025 |
Key Statistics
Box Expected Value: |
$97.90
$82
$98
$114
|
---|---|
Pack Expected Value: |
$2.72
Deviation: ±$2.64
|
Packs per Box: | 36 |
EV Trend
Percent Change: |
▼
-0.13%
|
Dollar Change: |
▼
$-0.13
|
Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales
Sale Price (S): | $0.00 |
Seller Fee: | -$0.00 (0.00%) |
Net EV After Fees: | $0.00 |
Fee Visualization
Top-20 Value Contributors
# | Card Name | $/Pack | $/Box | % Pack EV | % Box EV | Rarity | Foil? |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Revel in Riches | $0.23 | $8.32 | 8.5% | 8.5% | Rare | No |
2 | Primal Amulet // Primal Wellspring | $0.12 | $4.49 | 4.6% | 4.6% | Rare | No |
3 | Dowsing Dagger // Lost Vale | $0.10 | $3.76 | 3.8% | 3.8% | Rare | No |
4 | Legion's Landing // Adanto, the First Fort | $0.07 | $2.66 | 2.7% | 2.7% | Rare | No |
5 | Arcane Adaptation | $0.07 | $2.50 | 2.5% | 2.5% | Rare | Yes |
6 | Vanquisher's Banner | $0.07 | $2.36 | 2.4% | 2.4% | Rare | No |
7 | Settle the Wreckage | $0.06 | $2.01 | 2.0% | 2.0% | Rare | No |
8 | Growing Rites of Itlimoc // Itlimoc, Cradle of the Sun | $0.06 | $2.25 | 2.3% | 2.3% | Rare | No |
9 | Herald of Secret Streams | $0.05 | $1.67 | 1.7% | 1.7% | Rare | No |
10 | Huatli, Warrior Poet | $0.04 | $1.35 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Mythic | No |
11 | Gishath, Sun's Avatar | $0.04 | $1.55 | 1.6% | 1.6% | Mythic | Yes |
12 | Carnage Tyrant | $0.04 | $1.33 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Mythic | No |
13 | Kinjalli's Caller | $0.03 | $1.13 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Common | No |
14 | Otepec Huntmaster | $0.03 | $1.20 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Uncommon | No |
15 | Thaumatic Compass // Spires of Orazca | $0.03 | $1.25 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Rare | No |
16 | Rootbound Crag | $0.03 | $1.20 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Rare | No |
17 | Drowned Catacomb | $0.03 | $0.92 | 0.9% | 0.9% | Rare | No |
18 | Ripjaw Raptor | $0.02 | $0.58 | 0.6% | 0.6% | Rare | No |
19 | Blinding Fog | $0.02 | $0.55 | 0.6% | 0.6% | Common | No |
20 | Siren Stormtamer | $0.02 | $0.74 | 0.8% | 0.8% | Uncommon | No |
These top 20 cards contribute 42.7% of the box's total Expected Value.
Understanding EV Calculation & Trends
The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:
- Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
- Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
- Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
- Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices
Variance & Confidence
The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.
EV Trend Analysis
Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:
- Green values indicate an increase.
- Red values indicate a decrease.
- Gray indicates no significant change.
Note: EV is a statistical expectation based on probabilities and market data. It's a powerful tool for analysis, but actual results from opening a box will vary due to randomness. Prices are sourced from TCGPlayer Market Prices (Normal/Foil) - Stratified Sampling.