VOW

Innistrad: Crimson Vow

Innistrad: Crimson Vow Draft Booster

▼ -1.05%
since last update
Box EV $101.55 ±$15.41 Pack EV $2.82 ±$2.57 Packs per Box 36 Last Updated Jun 7, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $101.55
$86 $102 $117
Pack Expected Value: $2.82
Deviation: ±$2.57
Packs per Box: 36

EV Trend

Percent Change:
▼ -1.05%
Dollar Change:
▼ $-1.08

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Kessig Flamebreather $0.15 $5.28 5.2% 5.2% Common No
2 Toxrill, the Corrosive $0.12 $4.23 4.2% 4.2% Mythic No
3 Swamp $0.11 $3.96 3.9% 3.9% Common No
4 Swamp $0.07 $2.69 2.6% 2.6% Common No
5 Reckless Impulse $0.07 $2.60 2.6% 2.6% Common No
6 End the Festivities $0.06 $2.19 2.1% 2.1% Common No
7 Shattered Sanctum $0.06 $2.25 2.2% 2.2% Rare No
8 Deathcap Glade $0.06 $2.17 2.1% 2.1% Rare No
9 Necroduality $0.05 $1.97 1.9% 1.9% Mythic No
10 Shattered Sanctum $0.05 $1.71 1.7% 1.7% Rare No
11 Island $0.04 $1.28 1.3% 1.3% Common No
12 Hallowed Haunting $0.04 $1.59 1.6% 1.6% Mythic No
13 Mountain $0.04 $1.32 1.3% 1.3% Common No
14 Splendid Reclamation $0.04 $1.28 1.3% 1.3% Rare No
15 Deathcap Glade $0.04 $1.40 1.4% 1.4% Rare No
16 Sundown Pass $0.04 $1.55 1.5% 1.5% Rare No
17 Olivia, Crimson Bride $0.04 $1.29 1.3% 1.3% Mythic No
18 Cultivator Colossus $0.04 $1.34 1.3% 1.3% Mythic No
19 Hullbreaker Horror $0.03 $0.99 1.0% 1.0% Rare No
20 Plains $0.03 $1.13 1.1% 1.1% Common No

These top 20 cards contribute 41.5% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.