THB
Theros Beyond Death
Theros Beyond Death Draft Booster
▲
+0.93%
since last update
| Box EV $178.96 | Pack EV $4.97 | Packs per Box 36 | Last Updated Jun 7, 2025 |
Key Statistics
| Box Expected Value: |
$178.96
$144
$179
$214
|
|---|---|
| Pack Expected Value: |
$4.97
Deviation: ±$5.79
|
| Packs per Box: | 36 |
EV Trend
| Percent Change: |
▲
+0.93%
|
| Dollar Change: |
▲
+$1.64
|
Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales
| Sale Price (S): | $0.00 |
| Seller Fee: | -$0.00 (0.00%) |
| Net EV After Fees: | $0.00 |
Fee Visualization
Top-20 Value Contributors
| # | Card Name | $/Pack | $/Box | % Pack EV | % Box EV | Rarity | Foil? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shadowspear | $0.47 | $16.87 | 9.4% | 9.4% | Rare | Yes |
| 2 | Mountain | $0.35 | $12.56 | 7.0% | 7.0% | Common | No |
| 3 | Island | $0.35 | $12.76 | 7.1% | 7.1% | Common | No |
| 4 | Swamp | $0.33 | $11.93 | 6.7% | 6.7% | Common | No |
| 5 | Thassa's Oracle | $0.28 | $10.06 | 5.6% | 5.6% | Rare | No |
| 6 | Plains | $0.27 | $9.68 | 5.4% | 5.4% | Common | No |
| 7 | Nyxbloom Ancient | $0.27 | $9.77 | 5.5% | 5.5% | Mythic | No |
| 8 | Forest | $0.25 | $8.85 | 5.0% | 5.0% | Common | No |
| 9 | Idyllic Tutor | $0.16 | $5.92 | 3.3% | 3.3% | Rare | No |
| 10 | Thassa, Deep-Dwelling | $0.15 | $5.25 | 2.9% | 2.9% | Mythic | No |
| 11 | Underworld Breach | $0.13 | $4.69 | 2.6% | 2.6% | Rare | No |
| 12 | Underworld Dreams | $0.12 | $4.37 | 2.4% | 2.4% | Uncommon | No |
| 13 | Dryad of the Ilysian Grove | $0.10 | $3.77 | 2.1% | 2.1% | Rare | No |
| 14 | Hydra's Growth | $0.09 | $3.07 | 1.7% | 1.7% | Uncommon | No |
| 15 | Nyx Lotus | $0.09 | $3.19 | 1.8% | 1.8% | Rare | No |
| 16 | Kiora Bests the Sea God | $0.08 | $3.00 | 1.7% | 1.7% | Mythic | No |
| 17 | Thassa, Deep-Dwelling | $0.08 | $2.87 | 1.6% | 1.6% | Mythic | No |
| 18 | Heliod, Sun-Crowned | $0.07 | $2.35 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Mythic | No |
| 19 | Uro, Titan of Nature's Wrath | $0.06 | $2.28 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Mythic | No |
| 20 | Nylea, Keen-Eyed | $0.05 | $1.97 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Mythic | No |
These top 20 cards contribute 75.6% of the box's total Expected Value.
Understanding EV Calculation & Trends
The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:
- Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
- Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
- Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
- Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices
Variance & Confidence
The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.
EV Trend Analysis
Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:
- Green values indicate an increase.
- Red values indicate a decrease.
- Gray indicates no significant change.
Note: EV is a statistical expectation based on probabilities and market data. It's a powerful tool for analysis, but actual results from opening a box will vary due to randomness. Prices are sourced from TCGPlayer Market Prices (Normal/Foil) - Stratified Sampling.