THB

Theros Beyond Death

Theros Beyond Death Collector Booster

▼ -0.19%
since last update
Box EV $200.32 ±$34.87 Pack EV $16.69 ±$10.07 Packs per Box 12 Last Updated Jun 7, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $200.32
$165 $200 $235
Pack Expected Value: $16.69
Deviation: ±$10.07
Packs per Box: 12

EV Trend

Percent Change:
▼ -0.19%
Dollar Change:
▼ $-0.38

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Island $1.19 $14.22 7.1% 7.1% Common Yes
2 Mountain $1.17 $14.09 7.0% 7.0% Common Yes
3 Plains $1.06 $12.68 6.3% 6.3% Common Yes
4 Swamp $1.00 $12.04 6.0% 6.0% Common Yes
5 Forest $0.92 $11.10 5.5% 5.5% Common Yes
6 Thassa's Oracle $0.58 $6.96 3.5% 3.5% Rare Yes
7 Shadowspear $0.47 $5.62 2.8% 2.8% Rare No
8 Serpent of Yawning Depths $0.44 $5.26 2.6% 2.6% Rare No
9 Dryad of the Ilysian Grove $0.38 $4.52 2.3% 2.3% Rare No
10 Thassa, Deep-Dwelling $0.36 $4.31 2.1% 2.1% Mythic No
11 Shadowspear $0.34 $4.08 2.0% 2.0% Rare Yes
12 Nyx Lotus $0.32 $3.83 1.9% 1.9% Rare Yes
13 Underworld Breach $0.32 $3.79 1.9% 1.9% Rare No
14 Heliod, Sun-Crowned $0.30 $3.66 1.8% 1.8% Mythic Yes
15 Idyllic Tutor $0.27 $3.20 1.6% 1.6% Rare No
16 Nyxbloom Ancient $0.27 $3.19 1.6% 1.6% Mythic No
17 Uro, Titan of Nature's Wrath $0.23 $2.79 1.4% 1.4% Mythic Yes
18 Thassa's Oracle $0.23 $2.72 1.4% 1.4% Rare Yes
19 Nyxbloom Ancient $0.22 $2.64 1.3% 1.3% Mythic Yes
20 Setessan Champion $0.21 $2.49 1.2% 1.2% Rare Yes

These top 20 cards contribute 61.5% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.