TDM

Tarkir: Dragonstorm

Tarkir: Dragonstorm Play Booster

▼ -1.83%
since last update
Box EV $105.10 ±$28.06 Pack EV $3.50 ±$5.12 Packs per Box 30 Last Updated May 29, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $105.10
$77 $105 $133
Pack Expected Value: $3.50
Deviation: ±$5.12
Packs per Box: 30

EV Trend

Percent Change:
▼ -1.83%
Dollar Change:
▼ $-1.96

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Ugin, Eye of the Storms $0.23 $6.86 6.5% 6.5% Mythic No
2 Elspeth, Storm Slayer $0.18 $5.33 5.1% 5.1% Mythic No
3 Cori-Steel Cutter $0.17 $5.01 4.8% 4.8% Rare Yes
4 Voice of Victory $0.10 $3.05 2.9% 2.9% Rare No
5 Mistrise Village $0.09 $2.68 2.5% 2.5% Rare No
6 Craterhoof Behemoth $0.08 $2.49 2.4% 2.4% Mythic No
7 Elspeth, Storm Slayer $0.08 $2.35 2.2% 2.2% Mythic No
8 Tempest Hawk $0.07 $2.24 2.1% 2.1% Common No
9 Mox Jasper $0.07 $2.13 2.0% 2.0% Mythic Yes
10 Dracogenesis $0.06 $1.88 1.8% 1.8% Mythic No
11 Cori-Steel Cutter $0.06 $1.70 1.6% 1.6% Rare No
12 Herd Heirloom $0.05 $1.49 1.4% 1.4% Rare No
13 Voice of Victory $0.05 $1.48 1.4% 1.4% Rare No
14 Mox Jasper $0.05 $1.50 1.4% 1.4% Mythic No
15 Unknown Card $0.04 $1.08 1.0% 1.0% Unknown No
16 Betor, Kin to All $0.04 $1.35 1.3% 1.3% Mythic No
17 Shiko, Paragon of the Way $0.03 $1.02 1.0% 1.0% Mythic No
18 Marang River Regent // Coil and Catch $0.03 $0.78 0.7% 0.7% Rare No
19 Betor, Kin to All $0.03 $1.05 1.0% 1.0% Mythic No
20 Nature's Rhythm $0.03 $0.78 0.8% 0.8% Rare No

These top 20 cards contribute 44.0% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.