RNA

Ravnica Allegiance

Ravnica Allegiance Draft Booster

▲ +0.27%
since last update
Box EV $135.84 ±$37.13 Pack EV $3.77 ±$6.19 Packs per Box 36 Last Updated May 29, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $135.84
$99 $136 $173
Pack Expected Value: $3.77
Deviation: ±$6.19
Packs per Box: 36

EV Trend

Percent Change:
▲ +0.27%
Dollar Change:
▲ +$0.36

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Smothering Tithe $0.60 $21.66 15.9% 15.9% Rare No
2 Breeding Pool $0.37 $13.31 9.8% 9.8% Rare No
3 Godless Shrine $0.29 $10.35 7.6% 7.6% Rare No
4 Blood Crypt $0.27 $9.58 7.1% 7.1% Rare No
5 Stomping Ground $0.22 $7.90 5.8% 5.8% Rare No
6 Guardian Project $0.17 $5.96 4.4% 4.4% Rare No
7 Hallowed Fountain $0.14 $5.13 3.8% 3.8% Rare No
8 Rhythm of the Wild $0.12 $4.23 3.1% 3.1% Uncommon No
9 Persistent Petitioners $0.07 $2.57 1.9% 1.9% Common No
10 Incubation Druid $0.05 $1.89 1.4% 1.4% Rare No
11 Captive Audience $0.04 $1.35 1.0% 1.0% Mythic No
12 Biogenic Ooze $0.03 $0.98 0.7% 0.7% Mythic No
13 Mirror March $0.03 $1.14 0.8% 0.8% Rare No
14 Wilderness Reclamation $0.03 $1.09 0.8% 0.8% Uncommon No
15 Teysa Karlov $0.03 $1.08 0.8% 0.8% Rare No
16 Priest of Forgotten Gods $0.03 $0.99 0.7% 0.7% Rare No
17 Resolute Watchdog $0.02 $0.54 0.4% 0.4% Uncommon No
18 Gateway Plaza $0.02 $0.55 0.4% 0.4% Common No
19 Open the Gates $0.02 $0.64 0.5% 0.5% Common No
20 Growth Spiral $0.02 $0.77 0.6% 0.6% Common No

These top 20 cards contribute 67.5% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.