RIX
Rivals of Ixalan
Rivals of Ixalan Draft Booster
▼
-0.34%
since last update
Box EV $148.10 | Pack EV $4.11 | Packs per Box 36 | Last Updated May 29, 2025 |
Key Statistics
Box Expected Value: |
$148.10
$129
$148
$168
|
---|---|
Pack Expected Value: |
$4.11
Deviation: ±$3.26
|
Packs per Box: | 36 |
EV Trend
Percent Change: |
▼
-0.34%
|
Dollar Change: |
▼
$-0.51
|
Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales
Sale Price (S): | $0.00 |
Seller Fee: | -$0.00 (0.00%) |
Net EV After Fees: | $0.00 |
Fee Visualization
Top-20 Value Contributors
# | Card Name | $/Pack | $/Box | % Pack EV | % Box EV | Rarity | Foil? |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mountain | $0.25 | $8.95 | 6.0% | 6.0% | Common | No |
2 | Pitiless Plunderer | $0.23 | $8.42 | 5.7% | 5.7% | Uncommon | No |
3 | Forest | $0.19 | $6.77 | 4.6% | 4.6% | Common | No |
4 | Nezahal, Primal Tide | $0.18 | $6.48 | 4.4% | 4.4% | Rare | No |
5 | The Immortal Sun | $0.17 | $6.08 | 4.1% | 4.1% | Mythic | No |
6 | Storm the Vault // Vault of Catlacan | $0.15 | $5.33 | 3.6% | 3.6% | Rare | No |
7 | Polyraptor | $0.13 | $4.74 | 3.2% | 3.2% | Mythic | Yes |
8 | Forerunner of the Legion | $0.12 | $4.50 | 3.0% | 3.0% | Uncommon | No |
9 | Journey to Eternity // Atzal, Cave of Eternity | $0.11 | $3.83 | 2.6% | 2.6% | Rare | No |
10 | Swamp | $0.10 | $3.63 | 2.5% | 2.5% | Common | No |
11 | Island | $0.10 | $3.55 | 2.4% | 2.4% | Common | No |
12 | Forerunner of the Empire | $0.09 | $3.41 | 2.3% | 2.3% | Uncommon | No |
13 | World Shaper | $0.08 | $2.71 | 1.8% | 1.8% | Rare | No |
14 | Silverclad Ferocidons | $0.08 | $3.06 | 2.1% | 2.1% | Rare | No |
15 | Plains | $0.07 | $2.40 | 1.6% | 1.6% | Common | No |
16 | Elenda, the Dusk Rose | $0.06 | $2.30 | 1.6% | 1.6% | Mythic | No |
17 | Vona's Hunger | $0.06 | $2.18 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Rare | Yes |
18 | Trapjaw Tyrant | $0.06 | $2.17 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Mythic | No |
19 | Knight of the Stampede | $0.05 | $1.81 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Common | No |
20 | Forerunner of the Coalition | $0.05 | $1.74 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Uncommon | No |
These top 20 cards contribute 56.7% of the box's total Expected Value.
Understanding EV Calculation & Trends
The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:
- Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
- Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
- Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
- Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices
Variance & Confidence
The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.
EV Trend Analysis
Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:
- Green values indicate an increase.
- Red values indicate a decrease.
- Gray indicates no significant change.
Note: EV is a statistical expectation based on probabilities and market data. It's a powerful tool for analysis, but actual results from opening a box will vary due to randomness. Prices are sourced from TCGPlayer Market Prices (Normal/Foil) - Stratified Sampling.