RIX

Rivals of Ixalan

Rivals of Ixalan Draft Booster

-0.34%
since last update
Box EV $148.10 ±$19.56 Pack EV $4.11 ±$3.26 Packs per Box 36 Last Updated May 29, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $148.10
$129 $148 $168
Pack Expected Value: $4.11
Deviation: ±$3.26
Packs per Box: 36

EV Trend

Percent Change:
-0.34%
Dollar Change:
$-0.51

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Mountain $0.25 $8.95 6.0% 6.0% Common No
2 Pitiless Plunderer $0.23 $8.42 5.7% 5.7% Uncommon No
3 Forest $0.19 $6.77 4.6% 4.6% Common No
4 Nezahal, Primal Tide $0.18 $6.48 4.4% 4.4% Rare No
5 The Immortal Sun $0.17 $6.08 4.1% 4.1% Mythic No
6 Storm the Vault // Vault of Catlacan $0.15 $5.33 3.6% 3.6% Rare No
7 Polyraptor $0.13 $4.74 3.2% 3.2% Mythic Yes
8 Forerunner of the Legion $0.12 $4.50 3.0% 3.0% Uncommon No
9 Journey to Eternity // Atzal, Cave of Eternity $0.11 $3.83 2.6% 2.6% Rare No
10 Swamp $0.10 $3.63 2.5% 2.5% Common No
11 Island $0.10 $3.55 2.4% 2.4% Common No
12 Forerunner of the Empire $0.09 $3.41 2.3% 2.3% Uncommon No
13 World Shaper $0.08 $2.71 1.8% 1.8% Rare No
14 Silverclad Ferocidons $0.08 $3.06 2.1% 2.1% Rare No
15 Plains $0.07 $2.40 1.6% 1.6% Common No
16 Elenda, the Dusk Rose $0.06 $2.30 1.6% 1.6% Mythic No
17 Vona's Hunger $0.06 $2.18 1.5% 1.5% Rare Yes
18 Trapjaw Tyrant $0.06 $2.17 1.5% 1.5% Mythic No
19 Knight of the Stampede $0.05 $1.81 1.2% 1.2% Common No
20 Forerunner of the Coalition $0.05 $1.74 1.2% 1.2% Uncommon No

These top 20 cards contribute 56.7% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.