PIP
Fallout
Fallout Collector Booster
▲
+0.11%
since last update
Box EV $664.25 | Pack EV $55.35 | Packs per Box 12 | Last Updated Jun 7, 2025 |
Key Statistics
Box Expected Value: |
$664.25
$616
$664
$712
|
---|---|
Pack Expected Value: |
$55.35
Deviation: ±$13.81
|
Packs per Box: | 12 |
EV Trend
Percent Change: |
▲
+0.11%
|
Dollar Change: |
▲
+$0.76
|
Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales
Sale Price (S): | $0.00 |
Seller Fee: | -$0.00 (0.00%) |
Net EV After Fees: | $0.00 |
Fee Visualization
Top-20 Value Contributors
# | Card Name | $/Pack | $/Box | % Pack EV | % Box EV | Rarity | Foil? |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Wasteland | $0.86 | $10.31 | 1.6% | 1.6% | Rare | Yes |
2 | Ravages of War | $0.85 | $10.26 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Mythic | No |
3 | Vigor | $0.84 | $10.13 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Rare | No |
4 | Nuka-Cola Vending Machine | $0.82 | $9.90 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Uncommon | Yes |
5 | Command Tower | $0.81 | $9.78 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Uncommon | Yes |
6 | Farewell | $0.80 | $9.59 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Rare | No |
7 | Sol Ring | $0.79 | $9.43 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Mythic | Yes |
8 | Crucible of Worlds | $0.79 | $9.52 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Mythic | Yes |
9 | Arcane Signet | $0.78 | $9.38 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Uncommon | No |
10 | Walking Ballista | $0.78 | $9.32 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Rare | No |
11 | Caesar, Legion's Emperor | $0.77 | $9.23 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Mythic | No |
12 | The Wise Mothman | $0.75 | $9.05 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Mythic | No |
13 | Inventory Management | $0.48 | $5.82 | 0.9% | 0.9% | Rare | No |
14 | Tarmogoyf | $0.46 | $5.47 | 0.8% | 0.8% | Mythic | Yes |
15 | Lord of the Undead | $0.42 | $5.09 | 0.8% | 0.8% | Rare | No |
16 | Vandalblast | $0.35 | $4.19 | 0.6% | 0.6% | Uncommon | Yes |
17 | Hullbreaker Horror | $0.35 | $4.18 | 0.6% | 0.6% | Rare | No |
18 | Dogmeat, Ever Loyal | $0.34 | $4.03 | 0.6% | 0.6% | Mythic | No |
19 | Codsworth, Handy Helper | $0.34 | $4.08 | 0.6% | 0.6% | Rare | Yes |
20 | Heroic Intervention | $0.32 | $3.82 | 0.6% | 0.6% | Rare | No |
These top 20 cards contribute 22.9% of the box's total Expected Value.
Understanding EV Calculation & Trends
The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:
- Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
- Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
- Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
- Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices
Variance & Confidence
The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.
EV Trend Analysis
Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:
- Green values indicate an increase.
- Red values indicate a decrease.
- Gray indicates no significant change.
Note: EV is a statistical expectation based on probabilities and market data. It's a powerful tool for analysis, but actual results from opening a box will vary due to randomness. Prices are sourced from TCGPlayer Market Prices (Normal/Foil) - Stratified Sampling.