OTJ
Outlaws of Thunder Junction
Outlaws of Thunder Junction Play Booster
▼
-0.66%
since last update
| Box EV $173.53 | Pack EV $4.82 | Packs per Box 36 | Last Updated Jun 7, 2025 |
Key Statistics
| Box Expected Value: |
$173.53
$137
$174
$210
|
|---|---|
| Pack Expected Value: |
$4.82
Deviation: ±$6.02
|
| Packs per Box: | 36 |
EV Trend
| Percent Change: |
▼
-0.66%
|
| Dollar Change: |
▼
$-1.15
|
Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales
| Sale Price (S): | $0.00 |
| Seller Fee: | -$0.00 (0.00%) |
| Net EV After Fees: | $0.00 |
Fee Visualization
Top-20 Value Contributors
| # | Card Name | $/Pack | $/Box | % Pack EV | % Box EV | Rarity | Foil? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Terror of the Peaks | $0.30 | $10.86 | 6.3% | 6.3% | Mythic | No |
| 2 | Bristly Bill, Spine Sower | $0.24 | $8.74 | 5.0% | 5.0% | Mythic | No |
| 3 | Slickshot Show-Off | $0.23 | $8.29 | 4.8% | 4.8% | Rare | No |
| 4 | Three Steps Ahead | $0.09 | $3.39 | 1.9% | 1.9% | Rare | No |
| 5 | Unknown Card | $0.09 | $3.41 | 2.0% | 2.0% | Unknown | No |
| 6 | Unknown Card | $0.09 | $3.08 | 1.8% | 1.8% | Unknown | No |
| 7 | Unknown Card | $0.09 | $3.07 | 1.8% | 1.8% | Unknown | No |
| 8 | Unknown Card | $0.09 | $3.13 | 1.8% | 1.8% | Unknown | No |
| 9 | Unknown Card | $0.08 | $2.72 | 1.6% | 1.6% | Unknown | No |
| 10 | Unknown Card | $0.08 | $2.86 | 1.6% | 1.6% | Unknown | No |
| 11 | Goldvein Hydra | $0.08 | $3.05 | 1.8% | 1.8% | Mythic | No |
| 12 | Unknown Card | $0.08 | $2.97 | 1.7% | 1.7% | Unknown | No |
| 13 | Smuggler's Surprise | $0.07 | $2.64 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Rare | No |
| 14 | Unknown Card | $0.07 | $2.59 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Unknown | No |
| 15 | Annie Joins Up | $0.07 | $2.45 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Rare | No |
| 16 | Unknown Card | $0.07 | $2.54 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Unknown | No |
| 17 | High Noon | $0.06 | $2.24 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Rare | No |
| 18 | Unknown Card | $0.06 | $2.16 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Unknown | No |
| 19 | Kambal, Profiteering Mayor | $0.05 | $1.93 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Rare | No |
| 20 | Insatiable Avarice | $0.05 | $1.76 | 1.0% | 1.0% | Rare | No |
These top 20 cards contribute 42.6% of the box's total Expected Value.
Understanding EV Calculation & Trends
The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:
- Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
- Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
- Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
- Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices
Variance & Confidence
The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.
EV Trend Analysis
Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:
- Green values indicate an increase.
- Red values indicate a decrease.
- Gray indicates no significant change.
Note: EV is a statistical expectation based on probabilities and market data. It's a powerful tool for analysis, but actual results from opening a box will vary due to randomness. Prices are sourced from TCGPlayer Market Prices (Normal/Foil) - Stratified Sampling.