OTJ
Outlaws of Thunder Junction
Outlaws of Thunder Junction Collector Booster
▲
+0.09%
since last update
| Box EV $197.75 | Pack EV $16.48 | Packs per Box 12 | Last Updated Jun 7, 2025 |
Key Statistics
| Box Expected Value: |
$197.75
$153
$198
$243
|
|---|---|
| Pack Expected Value: |
$16.48
Deviation: ±$13.06
|
| Packs per Box: | 12 |
EV Trend
| Percent Change: |
▲
+0.09%
|
| Dollar Change: |
▲
+$0.17
|
Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales
| Sale Price (S): | $0.00 |
| Seller Fee: | -$0.00 (0.00%) |
| Net EV After Fees: | $0.00 |
Fee Visualization
Top-20 Value Contributors
| # | Card Name | $/Pack | $/Box | % Pack EV | % Box EV | Rarity | Foil? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Unknown Card | $0.52 | $6.22 | 3.1% | 3.1% | Unknown | No |
| 2 | Terror of the Peaks | $0.30 | $3.59 | 1.8% | 1.8% | Mythic | Yes |
| 3 | Unknown Card | $0.30 | $3.62 | 1.8% | 1.8% | Unknown | No |
| 4 | Slickshot Show-Off | $0.28 | $3.32 | 1.7% | 1.7% | Rare | Yes |
| 5 | Terror of the Peaks | $0.27 | $3.30 | 1.7% | 1.7% | Mythic | Yes |
| 6 | Bristly Bill, Spine Sower | $0.26 | $3.15 | 1.6% | 1.6% | Mythic | No |
| 7 | Unknown Card | $0.26 | $3.07 | 1.6% | 1.6% | Unknown | Yes |
| 8 | Unknown Card | $0.25 | $2.97 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Unknown | No |
| 9 | Unknown Card | $0.25 | $3.04 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Unknown | No |
| 10 | Unknown Card | $0.24 | $2.84 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Unknown | Yes |
| 11 | Unknown Card | $0.24 | $2.84 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Unknown | No |
| 12 | Unknown Card | $0.22 | $2.59 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Unknown | No |
| 13 | Smuggler's Surprise | $0.19 | $2.28 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Rare | No |
| 14 | Unknown Card | $0.19 | $2.30 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Unknown | No |
| 15 | Bristly Bill, Spine Sower | $0.17 | $2.05 | 1.0% | 1.0% | Mythic | Yes |
| 16 | Unknown Card | $0.17 | $2.08 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Unknown | Yes |
| 17 | Unknown Card | $0.17 | $2.07 | 1.0% | 1.0% | Unknown | Yes |
| 18 | Unknown Card | $0.16 | $1.95 | 1.0% | 1.0% | Unknown | No |
| 19 | Unknown Card | $0.15 | $1.84 | 0.9% | 0.9% | Unknown | No |
| 20 | Unknown Card | $0.15 | $1.83 | 0.9% | 0.9% | Unknown | No |
These top 20 cards contribute 28.8% of the box's total Expected Value.
Understanding EV Calculation & Trends
The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:
- Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
- Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
- Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
- Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices
Variance & Confidence
The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.
EV Trend Analysis
Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:
- Green values indicate an increase.
- Red values indicate a decrease.
- Gray indicates no significant change.
Note: EV is a statistical expectation based on probabilities and market data. It's a powerful tool for analysis, but actual results from opening a box will vary due to randomness. Prices are sourced from TCGPlayer Market Prices (Normal/Foil) - Stratified Sampling.