ORI
Magic Origins
Magic Origins Draft Booster
▼
-0.45%
since last update
| Box EV $101.25 | Pack EV $2.81 | Packs per Box 36 | Last Updated May 29, 2025 |
Key Statistics
| Box Expected Value: |
$101.25
$85
$101
$117
|
|---|---|
| Pack Expected Value: |
$2.81
Deviation: ±$2.63
|
| Packs per Box: | 36 |
EV Trend
| Percent Change: |
▼
-0.45%
|
| Dollar Change: |
▼
$-0.46
|
Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales
| Sale Price (S): | $0.00 |
| Seller Fee: | -$0.00 (0.00%) |
| Net EV After Fees: | $0.00 |
Fee Visualization
Top-20 Value Contributors
| # | Card Name | $/Pack | $/Box | % Pack EV | % Box EV | Rarity | Foil? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Starfield of Nyx | $0.13 | $4.65 | 4.6% | 4.6% | Mythic | No |
| 2 | Sword of the Animist | $0.13 | $4.71 | 4.7% | 4.7% | Rare | No |
| 3 | Elemental Bond | $0.11 | $3.97 | 3.9% | 3.9% | Uncommon | No |
| 4 | Tainted Remedy | $0.10 | $3.77 | 3.7% | 3.7% | Rare | No |
| 5 | Alhammarret's Archive | $0.09 | $3.20 | 3.2% | 3.2% | Mythic | No |
| 6 | Helm of the Gods | $0.08 | $2.96 | 2.9% | 2.9% | Rare | No |
| 7 | Flameshadow Conjuring | $0.06 | $2.25 | 2.2% | 2.2% | Rare | No |
| 8 | Chandra's Ignition | $0.06 | $2.06 | 2.0% | 2.0% | Rare | No |
| 9 | Jace, Vryn's Prodigy // Jace, Telepath Unbound | $0.06 | $2.05 | 2.0% | 2.0% | Mythic | No |
| 10 | Zendikar's Roil | $0.05 | $1.85 | 1.8% | 1.8% | Uncommon | No |
| 11 | Archangel of Tithes | $0.05 | $1.92 | 1.9% | 1.9% | Mythic | No |
| 12 | Liliana, Heretical Healer // Liliana, Defiant Necromancer | $0.05 | $1.84 | 1.8% | 1.8% | Mythic | No |
| 13 | Eyeblight Assassin | $0.04 | $1.32 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Common | No |
| 14 | Sphinx's Tutelage | $0.04 | $1.51 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Uncommon | No |
| 15 | Nissa's Pilgrimage | $0.03 | $0.99 | 1.0% | 1.0% | Common | No |
| 16 | Fiery Impulse | $0.03 | $1.00 | 1.0% | 1.0% | Common | No |
| 17 | Managorger Hydra | $0.03 | $1.22 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Rare | No |
| 18 | Nissa, Vastwood Seer // Nissa, Sage Animist | $0.03 | $0.96 | 0.9% | 0.9% | Mythic | No |
| 19 | Animist's Awakening | $0.03 | $0.91 | 0.9% | 0.9% | Rare | No |
| 20 | Herald of the Pantheon | $0.03 | $1.18 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Rare | No |
These top 20 cards contribute 43.8% of the box's total Expected Value.
Understanding EV Calculation & Trends
The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:
- Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
- Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
- Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
- Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices
Variance & Confidence
The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.
EV Trend Analysis
Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:
- Green values indicate an increase.
- Red values indicate a decrease.
- Gray indicates no significant change.
Note: EV is a statistical expectation based on probabilities and market data. It's a powerful tool for analysis, but actual results from opening a box will vary due to randomness. Prices are sourced from TCGPlayer Market Prices (Normal/Foil) - Stratified Sampling.