OGW

Oath of the Gatewatch

Oath of the Gatewatch Draft Booster

▲ +0.22%
since last update
Box EV $82.35 ±$11.71 Pack EV $2.29 ±$1.95 Packs per Box 36 Last Updated May 29, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $82.35
$71 $82 $94
Pack Expected Value: $2.29
Deviation: ±$1.95
Packs per Box: 36

EV Trend

Percent Change:
▲ +0.22%
Dollar Change:
▲ +$0.18

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Wastes $0.11 $4.07 4.9% 4.9% Common No
2 Zendikar Resurgent $0.10 $3.44 4.2% 4.2% Rare No
3 Wastes $0.08 $2.93 3.6% 3.6% Common No
4 Thought-Knot Seer $0.07 $2.41 2.9% 2.9% Rare No
5 Kozilek's Return $0.06 $2.00 2.4% 2.4% Mythic No
6 Kalitas, Traitor of Ghet $0.06 $1.99 2.4% 2.4% Mythic No
7 Slip Through Space $0.05 $1.94 2.4% 2.4% Common No
8 Holdout Settlement $0.05 $1.92 2.3% 2.3% Common Yes
9 Kozilek, the Great Distortion $0.05 $1.65 2.0% 2.0% Mythic No
10 Cliffhaven Vampire $0.04 $1.48 1.8% 1.8% Uncommon No
11 Expedite $0.04 $1.33 1.6% 1.6% Common No
12 Stoneforge Masterwork $0.04 $1.33 1.6% 1.6% Rare No
13 World Breaker $0.04 $1.34 1.6% 1.6% Mythic No
14 Hedron Crawler $0.03 $1.16 1.4% 1.4% Common No
15 Reality Smasher $0.03 $0.94 1.1% 1.1% Rare No
16 Dazzling Reflection $0.02 $0.70 0.8% 0.8% Common No
17 Natural State $0.02 $0.85 1.0% 1.0% Common No
18 Eldrazi Mimic $0.02 $0.73 0.9% 0.9% Rare No
19 Crumbling Vestige $0.02 $0.82 1.0% 1.0% Common No
20 Negate $0.02 $0.69 0.8% 0.8% Common No

These top 20 cards contribute 40.9% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.