NPH

New Phyrexia

New Phyrexia Draft Booster

▲ +0.30%
since last update
Box EV $387.33 ±$44.42 Pack EV $10.76 ±$7.40 Packs per Box 36 Last Updated May 29, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $387.33
$343 $387 $432
Pack Expected Value: $10.76
Deviation: ±$7.40
Packs per Box: 36

EV Trend

Percent Change:
▲ +0.30%
Dollar Change:
▲ +$1.15

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Triumph of the Hordes $0.70 $25.16 6.5% 6.5% Uncommon No
2 Mindcrank $0.61 $21.83 5.6% 5.6% Uncommon No
3 Gitaxian Probe $0.60 $21.74 5.6% 5.6% Common No
4 Birthing Pod $0.55 $19.83 5.1% 5.1% Rare No
5 Mental Misstep $0.44 $15.93 4.1% 4.1% Uncommon No
6 Mutagenic Growth $0.39 $13.90 3.6% 3.6% Common No
7 Praetor's Grasp $0.32 $11.48 3.0% 3.0% Rare No
8 Suture Priest $0.30 $10.96 2.8% 2.8% Common No
9 Noxious Revival $0.29 $10.46 2.7% 2.7% Uncommon No
10 Elesh Norn, Grand Cenobite $0.26 $9.20 2.4% 2.4% Mythic No
11 Hex Parasite $0.25 $8.85 2.3% 2.3% Rare No
12 Viral Drake $0.23 $8.12 2.1% 2.1% Uncommon No
13 Blighted Agent $0.22 $8.03 2.1% 2.1% Common No
14 Unwinding Clock $0.22 $7.96 2.1% 2.1% Rare No
15 Dismember $0.21 $7.71 2.0% 2.0% Uncommon No
16 Sheoldred, Whispering One $0.21 $7.64 2.0% 2.0% Mythic No
17 Vorinclex, Voice of Hunger $0.18 $6.48 1.7% 1.7% Mythic No
18 Spellskite $0.17 $6.11 1.6% 1.6% Rare No
19 Phyrexian Metamorph $0.13 $4.67 1.2% 1.2% Rare No
20 Surgical Extraction $0.13 $4.58 1.2% 1.2% Rare No

These top 20 cards contribute 59.5% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.