NEO
Kamigawa: Neon Dynasty
Kamigawa: Neon Dynasty Draft Booster
▼
-0.68%
since last update
Box EV $160.15 | Pack EV $4.45 | Packs per Box 36 | Last Updated Jun 7, 2025 |
Key Statistics
Box Expected Value: |
$160.15
$124
$160
$196
|
---|---|
Pack Expected Value: |
$4.45
Deviation: ±$6.04
|
Packs per Box: | 36 |
EV Trend
Percent Change: |
▼
-0.68%
|
Dollar Change: |
▼
$-1.10
|
Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales
Sale Price (S): | $0.00 |
Seller Fee: | -$0.00 (0.00%) |
Net EV After Fees: | $0.00 |
Fee Visualization
Top-20 Value Contributors
# | Card Name | $/Pack | $/Box | % Pack EV | % Box EV | Rarity | Foil? |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Boseiju, Who Endures | $0.36 | $13.08 | 8.2% | 8.2% | Rare | No |
2 | Otawara, Soaring City | $0.21 | $7.60 | 4.7% | 4.7% | Rare | No |
3 | Boseiju, Who Endures | $0.18 | $6.41 | 4.0% | 4.0% | Rare | No |
4 | Tamiyo's Safekeeping | $0.16 | $5.72 | 3.6% | 3.6% | Common | No |
5 | Swamp | $0.13 | $4.64 | 2.9% | 2.9% | Common | No |
6 | Swamp | $0.12 | $4.44 | 2.8% | 2.8% | Common | No |
7 | Takenuma, Abandoned Mire | $0.10 | $3.49 | 2.2% | 2.2% | Rare | No |
8 | Fable of the Mirror-Breaker // Reflection of Kiki-Jiki | $0.10 | $3.52 | 2.2% | 2.2% | Rare | No |
9 | Island | $0.09 | $3.30 | 2.1% | 2.1% | Common | No |
10 | Mountain | $0.09 | $3.19 | 2.0% | 2.0% | Common | No |
11 | Kodama of the West Tree | $0.09 | $3.37 | 2.1% | 2.1% | Mythic | Yes |
12 | Plains | $0.08 | $2.82 | 1.8% | 1.8% | Common | Yes |
13 | Otawara, Soaring City | $0.08 | $2.88 | 1.8% | 1.8% | Rare | No |
14 | Isshin, Two Heavens as One | $0.07 | $2.65 | 1.7% | 1.7% | Rare | No |
15 | Takenuma, Abandoned Mire | $0.06 | $2.18 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Rare | No |
16 | Plains | $0.06 | $2.25 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Common | No |
17 | Forest | $0.06 | $2.19 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Common | No |
18 | Mirror Box | $0.06 | $2.34 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Rare | No |
19 | Forest | $0.06 | $2.12 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Common | No |
20 | Island | $0.06 | $2.09 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Common | No |
These top 20 cards contribute 50.1% of the box's total Expected Value.
Understanding EV Calculation & Trends
The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:
- Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
- Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
- Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
- Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices
Variance & Confidence
The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.
EV Trend Analysis
Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:
- Green values indicate an increase.
- Red values indicate a decrease.
- Gray indicates no significant change.
Note: EV is a statistical expectation based on probabilities and market data. It's a powerful tool for analysis, but actual results from opening a box will vary due to randomness. Prices are sourced from TCGPlayer Market Prices (Normal/Foil) - Stratified Sampling.