MOM
March of the Machine
March of the Machine Set Booster
▼
-0.16%
since last update
Box EV $156.84 | Pack EV $5.23 | Packs per Box 30 | Last Updated Jun 7, 2025 |
Key Statistics
Box Expected Value: |
$156.84
$127
$157
$187
|
---|---|
Pack Expected Value: |
$5.23
Deviation: ±$5.51
|
Packs per Box: | 30 |
EV Trend
Percent Change: |
▼
-0.16%
|
Dollar Change: |
▼
$-0.25
|
Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales
Sale Price (S): | $0.00 |
Seller Fee: | -$0.00 (0.00%) |
Net EV After Fees: | $0.00 |
Fee Visualization
Top-20 Value Contributors
# | Card Name | $/Pack | $/Box | % Pack EV | % Box EV | Rarity | Foil? |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Etali, Primal Conqueror // Etali, Primal Sickness | $0.29 | $8.63 | 5.5% | 5.5% | Rare | Yes |
2 | Tribute to the World Tree | $0.19 | $5.70 | 3.6% | 3.6% | Rare | No |
3 | Faerie Mastermind | $0.18 | $5.52 | 3.5% | 3.5% | Rare | No |
4 | Ozolith, the Shattered Spire | $0.16 | $4.74 | 3.0% | 3.0% | Rare | No |
5 | Invasion of Ikoria // Zilortha, Apex of Ikoria | $0.15 | $4.47 | 2.9% | 2.9% | Rare | No |
6 | Kami of Whispered Hopes | $0.14 | $4.08 | 2.6% | 2.6% | Uncommon | No |
7 | Unknown Card | $0.12 | $3.69 | 2.4% | 2.4% | Unknown | No |
8 | Urabrask // The Great Work | $0.12 | $3.70 | 2.4% | 2.4% | Mythic | No |
9 | Sheoldred // The True Scriptures | $0.12 | $3.49 | 2.2% | 2.2% | Mythic | Yes |
10 | Unknown Card | $0.11 | $3.29 | 2.1% | 2.1% | Unknown | No |
11 | Unknown Card | $0.10 | $2.88 | 1.8% | 1.8% | Unknown | No |
12 | Unknown Card | $0.09 | $2.75 | 1.8% | 1.8% | Unknown | No |
13 | Breach the Multiverse | $0.09 | $2.82 | 1.8% | 1.8% | Rare | No |
14 | Unknown Card | $0.09 | $2.67 | 1.7% | 1.7% | Unknown | No |
15 | Unknown Card | $0.09 | $2.69 | 1.7% | 1.7% | Unknown | No |
16 | Drana and Linvala | $0.08 | $2.33 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Rare | Yes |
17 | Unknown Card | $0.08 | $2.29 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Unknown | No |
18 | City on Fire | $0.08 | $2.40 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Rare | No |
19 | Unknown Card | $0.06 | $1.82 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Unknown | No |
20 | Hoarding Broodlord | $0.06 | $1.77 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Rare | No |
These top 20 cards contribute 45.7% of the box's total Expected Value.
Understanding EV Calculation & Trends
The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:
- Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
- Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
- Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
- Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices
Variance & Confidence
The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.
EV Trend Analysis
Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:
- Green values indicate an increase.
- Red values indicate a decrease.
- Gray indicates no significant change.
Note: EV is a statistical expectation based on probabilities and market data. It's a powerful tool for analysis, but actual results from opening a box will vary due to randomness. Prices are sourced from TCGPlayer Market Prices (Normal/Foil) - Stratified Sampling.