MOM
March of the Machine
March of the Machine Draft Booster
▼
-0.44%
since last update
| Box EV $155.23 | Pack EV $4.31 | Packs per Box 36 | Last Updated Jun 7, 2025 |
Key Statistics
| Box Expected Value: |
$155.23
$128
$155
$183
|
|---|---|
| Pack Expected Value: |
$4.31
Deviation: ±$4.60
|
| Packs per Box: | 36 |
EV Trend
| Percent Change: |
▼
-0.44%
|
| Dollar Change: |
▼
$-0.69
|
Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales
| Sale Price (S): | $0.00 |
| Seller Fee: | -$0.00 (0.00%) |
| Net EV After Fees: | $0.00 |
Fee Visualization
Top-20 Value Contributors
| # | Card Name | $/Pack | $/Box | % Pack EV | % Box EV | Rarity | Foil? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tribute to the World Tree | $0.17 | $5.95 | 3.8% | 3.8% | Rare | No |
| 2 | Etali, Primal Conqueror // Etali, Primal Sickness | $0.17 | $6.07 | 3.9% | 3.9% | Rare | Yes |
| 3 | Ozolith, the Shattered Spire | $0.14 | $5.06 | 3.3% | 3.3% | Rare | No |
| 4 | Faerie Mastermind | $0.13 | $4.60 | 3.0% | 3.0% | Rare | No |
| 5 | Kami of Whispered Hopes | $0.13 | $4.62 | 3.0% | 3.0% | Uncommon | No |
| 6 | Invasion of Ikoria // Zilortha, Apex of Ikoria | $0.12 | $4.41 | 2.8% | 2.8% | Rare | No |
| 7 | Unknown Card | $0.10 | $3.67 | 2.4% | 2.4% | Unknown | No |
| 8 | Unknown Card | $0.10 | $3.62 | 2.3% | 2.3% | Unknown | No |
| 9 | Unknown Card | $0.10 | $3.78 | 2.4% | 2.4% | Unknown | No |
| 10 | City on Fire | $0.09 | $3.13 | 2.0% | 2.0% | Rare | No |
| 11 | Unknown Card | $0.09 | $3.29 | 2.1% | 2.1% | Unknown | No |
| 12 | Etali, Primal Conqueror // Etali, Primal Sickness | $0.09 | $3.12 | 2.0% | 2.0% | Rare | No |
| 13 | Unknown Card | $0.08 | $2.72 | 1.8% | 1.8% | Unknown | No |
| 14 | Wrenn's Resolve | $0.07 | $2.44 | 1.6% | 1.6% | Common | No |
| 15 | Breach the Multiverse | $0.07 | $2.64 | 1.7% | 1.7% | Rare | No |
| 16 | Unknown Card | $0.07 | $2.58 | 1.7% | 1.7% | Unknown | No |
| 17 | Urabrask // The Great Work | $0.07 | $2.38 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Mythic | No |
| 18 | Corrupted Conviction | $0.06 | $2.16 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Common | No |
| 19 | Unknown Card | $0.06 | $2.14 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Unknown | No |
| 20 | Unknown Card | $0.06 | $2.07 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Unknown | No |
These top 20 cards contribute 45.4% of the box's total Expected Value.
Understanding EV Calculation & Trends
The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:
- Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
- Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
- Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
- Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices
Variance & Confidence
The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.
EV Trend Analysis
Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:
- Green values indicate an increase.
- Red values indicate a decrease.
- Gray indicates no significant change.
Note: EV is a statistical expectation based on probabilities and market data. It's a powerful tool for analysis, but actual results from opening a box will vary due to randomness. Prices are sourced from TCGPlayer Market Prices (Normal/Foil) - Stratified Sampling.