MOM
March of the Machine
March of the Machine Collector Booster
▼
-0.16%
since last update
Box EV $187.78 | Pack EV $15.65 | Packs per Box 12 | Last Updated Jun 7, 2025 |
Key Statistics
Box Expected Value: |
$187.78
$149
$188
$226
|
---|---|
Pack Expected Value: |
$15.65
Deviation: ±$11.12
|
Packs per Box: | 12 |
EV Trend
Percent Change: |
▼
-0.16%
|
Dollar Change: |
▼
$-0.30
|
Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales
Sale Price (S): | $0.00 |
Seller Fee: | -$0.00 (0.00%) |
Net EV After Fees: | $0.00 |
Fee Visualization
Top-20 Value Contributors
# | Card Name | $/Pack | $/Box | % Pack EV | % Box EV | Rarity | Foil? |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Faerie Mastermind | $0.48 | $5.77 | 3.1% | 3.1% | Rare | No |
2 | Etali, Primal Conqueror // Etali, Primal Sickness | $0.48 | $5.80 | 3.1% | 3.1% | Rare | Yes |
3 | Tribute to the World Tree | $0.42 | $5.01 | 2.7% | 2.7% | Rare | No |
4 | Ozolith, the Shattered Spire | $0.32 | $3.90 | 2.1% | 2.1% | Rare | No |
5 | Unknown Card | $0.31 | $3.76 | 2.0% | 2.0% | Unknown | No |
6 | Unknown Card | $0.29 | $3.44 | 1.8% | 1.8% | Unknown | Yes |
7 | Orthion, Hero of Lavabrink | $0.26 | $3.16 | 1.7% | 1.7% | Rare | No |
8 | Unknown Card | $0.25 | $2.97 | 1.6% | 1.6% | Unknown | No |
9 | Unknown Card | $0.24 | $2.87 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Unknown | No |
10 | Urabrask // The Great Work | $0.24 | $2.89 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Mythic | No |
11 | Breach the Multiverse | $0.23 | $2.76 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Rare | No |
12 | Etali, Primal Conqueror // Etali, Primal Sickness | $0.23 | $2.79 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Rare | Yes |
13 | Sheoldred // The True Scriptures | $0.23 | $2.72 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Mythic | No |
14 | Unknown Card | $0.23 | $2.78 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Unknown | Yes |
15 | Unknown Card | $0.23 | $2.81 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Unknown | Yes |
16 | Unknown Card | $0.21 | $2.56 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Unknown | Yes |
17 | Hoarding Broodlord | $0.18 | $2.11 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Rare | No |
18 | City on Fire | $0.18 | $2.13 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Rare | Yes |
19 | Drana and Linvala | $0.17 | $2.09 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Rare | Yes |
20 | Surrak and Goreclaw | $0.17 | $2.09 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Rare | No |
These top 20 cards contribute 34.3% of the box's total Expected Value.
Understanding EV Calculation & Trends
The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:
- Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
- Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
- Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
- Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices
Variance & Confidence
The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.
EV Trend Analysis
Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:
- Green values indicate an increase.
- Red values indicate a decrease.
- Gray indicates no significant change.
Note: EV is a statistical expectation based on probabilities and market data. It's a powerful tool for analysis, but actual results from opening a box will vary due to randomness. Prices are sourced from TCGPlayer Market Prices (Normal/Foil) - Stratified Sampling.