MMA

Modern Masters

Modern Masters Draft Booster

▲ +0.09%
since last update
Box EV $279.23 ±$38.92 Pack EV $11.63 ±$7.94 Packs per Box 24 Last Updated Jun 7, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $279.23
$240 $279 $318
Pack Expected Value: $11.63
Deviation: ±$7.94
Packs per Box: 24

EV Trend

Percent Change:
▲ +0.09%
Dollar Change:
▲ +$0.24

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Doubling Season $0.50 $12.08 4.3% 4.3% Rare No
2 Paradise Mantle $0.43 $10.37 3.7% 3.7% Uncommon No
3 Spellstutter Sprite $0.39 $9.47 3.4% 3.4% Common No
4 Sword of Fire and Ice $0.37 $8.87 3.2% 3.2% Mythic No
5 Chalice of the Void $0.35 $8.31 3.0% 3.0% Rare No
6 Spell Snare $0.34 $8.19 2.9% 2.9% Uncommon No
7 City of Brass $0.32 $7.70 2.8% 2.8% Rare No
8 Relic of Progenitus $0.27 $6.39 2.3% 2.3% Uncommon No
9 Faerie Macabre $0.27 $6.37 2.3% 2.3% Common No
10 Mothdust Changeling $0.26 $6.34 2.3% 2.3% Common No
11 Academy Ruins $0.25 $6.11 2.2% 2.2% Rare No
12 Pact of Negation $0.25 $5.90 2.1% 2.1% Rare Yes
13 Etherium Sculptor $0.24 $5.82 2.1% 2.1% Common No
14 Stinkweed Imp $0.21 $5.09 1.8% 1.8% Common No
15 Desperate Ritual $0.21 $4.92 1.8% 1.8% Uncommon No
16 Manamorphose $0.20 $4.77 1.7% 1.7% Uncommon No
17 Kodama's Reach $0.19 $4.54 1.6% 1.6% Common No
18 Arcbound Ravager $0.19 $4.59 1.6% 1.6% Rare No
19 Gifts Ungiven $0.18 $4.26 1.5% 1.5% Rare No
20 Life from the Loam $0.17 $4.06 1.5% 1.5% Rare No

These top 20 cards contribute 48.1% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.