MKM

Murders at Karlov Manor

Murders at Karlov Manor Play Booster

▼ -1.43%
since last update
Box EV $169.79 ±$36.83 Pack EV $4.72 ±$6.14 Packs per Box 36 Last Updated Jun 7, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $169.79
$133 $170 $207
Pack Expected Value: $4.72
Deviation: ±$6.14
Packs per Box: 36

EV Trend

Percent Change:
▼ -1.43%
Dollar Change:
▼ $-2.45

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Shadowy Backstreet $0.26 $9.42 5.5% 5.5% Rare No
2 Undercity Sewers $0.25 $8.91 5.3% 5.3% Rare No
3 Underground Mortuary $0.25 $8.94 5.3% 5.3% Rare No
4 Meticulous Archive $0.24 $8.53 5.0% 5.0% Rare No
5 Hedge Maze $0.22 $7.82 4.6% 4.6% Rare Yes
6 Thundering Falls $0.22 $7.88 4.6% 4.6% Rare No
7 Warleader's Call $0.17 $6.10 3.6% 3.6% Rare No
8 Delney, Streetwise Lookout $0.17 $6.07 3.6% 3.6% Mythic No
9 Elegant Parlor $0.15 $5.35 3.1% 3.1% Rare No
10 Raucous Theater $0.12 $4.49 2.6% 2.6% Rare No
11 Slime Against Humanity $0.11 $4.02 2.4% 2.4% Common No
12 Lush Portico $0.11 $3.85 2.3% 2.3% Rare No
13 Commercial District $0.09 $3.29 1.9% 1.9% Rare No
14 Archdruid's Charm $0.08 $2.71 1.6% 1.6% Rare No
15 Aftermath Analyst $0.08 $3.03 1.8% 1.8% Uncommon No
16 Proft's Eidetic Memory $0.08 $2.85 1.7% 1.7% Rare No
17 Delney, Streetwise Lookout $0.08 $2.75 1.6% 1.6% Mythic No
18 Leyline of the Guildpact $0.07 $2.42 1.4% 1.4% Rare No
19 Warleader's Call $0.07 $2.34 1.4% 1.4% Rare No
20 Vein Ripper $0.06 $2.11 1.2% 1.2% Mythic No

These top 20 cards contribute 60.6% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.