MKM

Murders at Karlov Manor

Murders at Karlov Manor Collector Booster

▼ -0.44%
since last update
Box EV $211.25 ±$54.71 Pack EV $17.60 ±$15.79 Packs per Box 12 Last Updated Jun 7, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $211.25
$157 $211 $266
Pack Expected Value: $17.60
Deviation: ±$15.79
Packs per Box: 12

EV Trend

Percent Change:
▼ -0.44%
Dollar Change:
▼ $-0.94

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Undercity Sewers $1.13 $13.59 6.4% 6.4% Rare No
2 Meticulous Archive $0.93 $11.19 5.3% 5.3% Rare Yes
3 Shadowy Backstreet $0.78 $9.39 4.4% 4.4% Rare Yes
4 Thundering Falls $0.70 $8.36 4.0% 4.0% Rare Yes
5 Unknown Card $0.69 $8.22 3.9% 3.9% Unknown No
6 Underground Mortuary $0.69 $8.23 3.9% 3.9% Rare No
7 Hedge Maze $0.67 $8.01 3.8% 3.8% Rare Yes
8 Elegant Parlor $0.51 $6.17 2.9% 2.9% Rare No
9 Delney, Streetwise Lookout $0.47 $5.67 2.7% 2.7% Mythic No
10 Raucous Theater $0.46 $5.49 2.6% 2.6% Rare No
11 Warleader's Call $0.44 $5.30 2.5% 2.5% Rare No
12 Lush Portico $0.41 $4.92 2.3% 2.3% Rare Yes
13 Commercial District $0.41 $4.97 2.4% 2.4% Rare No
14 Undercity Sewers $0.38 $4.50 2.1% 2.1% Rare Yes
15 Delney, Streetwise Lookout $0.36 $4.32 2.0% 2.0% Mythic Yes
16 Unknown Card $0.31 $3.69 1.8% 1.8% Unknown Yes
17 Unknown Card $0.30 $3.66 1.7% 1.7% Unknown Yes
18 Archdruid's Charm $0.25 $3.05 1.4% 1.4% Rare Yes
19 Leyline of the Guildpact $0.23 $2.71 1.3% 1.3% Rare Yes
20 Underground Mortuary $0.23 $2.81 1.3% 1.3% Rare Yes

These top 20 cards contribute 58.8% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.