MKM

Murders at Karlov Manor

Murders at Karlov Manor Arena Play Booster

▼ -0.32%
since last update
Box EV $168.67 ±$36.64 Pack EV $4.69 ±$6.11 Packs per Box 36 Last Updated May 29, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $168.67
$132 $169 $205
Pack Expected Value: $4.69
Deviation: ±$6.11
Packs per Box: 36

EV Trend

Percent Change:
▼ -0.32%
Dollar Change:
▼ $-0.54

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Shadowy Backstreet $0.31 $11.18 6.6% 6.6% Rare No
2 Undercity Sewers $0.30 $10.85 6.4% 6.4% Rare No
3 Meticulous Archive $0.28 $10.15 6.0% 6.0% Rare No
4 Underground Mortuary $0.27 $9.63 5.7% 5.7% Rare No
5 Thundering Falls $0.27 $9.67 5.7% 5.7% Rare No
6 Delney, Streetwise Lookout $0.23 $8.13 4.8% 4.8% Mythic No
7 Warleader's Call $0.21 $7.60 4.5% 4.5% Rare No
8 Elegant Parlor $0.20 $7.10 4.2% 4.2% Rare No
9 Hedge Maze $0.20 $7.31 4.3% 4.3% Rare No
10 Slime Against Humanity $0.15 $5.55 3.3% 3.3% Common No
11 Raucous Theater $0.14 $5.09 3.0% 3.0% Rare No
12 Commercial District $0.13 $4.63 2.8% 2.8% Rare No
13 Lush Portico $0.12 $4.43 2.6% 2.6% Rare No
14 Aftermath Analyst $0.08 $2.88 1.7% 1.7% Uncommon No
15 Insidious Roots $0.08 $3.02 1.8% 1.8% Uncommon No
16 Proft's Eidetic Memory $0.08 $2.81 1.7% 1.7% Rare No
17 Vein Ripper $0.07 $2.51 1.5% 1.5% Mythic No
18 Archdruid's Charm $0.07 $2.41 1.4% 1.4% Rare No
19 Massacre Girl, Known Killer $0.06 $2.02 1.2% 1.2% Mythic No
20 Leyline of the Guildpact $0.06 $2.12 1.3% 1.3% Rare No

These top 20 cards contribute 70.6% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.