MH3

Modern Horizons 3

Modern Horizons 3 Collector Booster

▲ +0.02%
since last update
Box EV $355.43 ±$41.59 Pack EV $29.62 ±$12.01 Packs per Box 12 Last Updated Jun 7, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $355.43
$314 $355 $397
Pack Expected Value: $29.62
Deviation: ±$12.01
Packs per Box: 12

EV Trend

Percent Change:
▲ +0.02%
Dollar Change:
▲ +$0.08

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Unknown Card $0.58 $6.95 1.9% 1.9% Unknown No
2 Arena of Glory $0.53 $6.37 1.8% 1.8% Rare No
3 Jet Medallion $0.44 $5.29 1.5% 1.5% Rare No
4 Orim's Chant $0.43 $5.21 1.5% 1.5% Rare No
5 Ripples of Undeath $0.40 $4.75 1.3% 1.3% Rare No
6 Ruby Medallion $0.39 $4.64 1.3% 1.3% Rare No
7 Fanatic of Rhonas $0.38 $4.60 1.3% 1.3% Rare Yes
8 Shifting Woodland $0.37 $4.50 1.3% 1.3% Rare Yes
9 Pearl Medallion $0.31 $3.76 1.1% 1.1% Rare Yes
10 Sapphire Medallion $0.29 $3.45 1.0% 1.0% Rare No
11 Sowing Mycospawn $0.28 $3.35 0.9% 0.9% Rare No
12 Ajani, Nacatl Pariah // Ajani, Nacatl Avenger $0.28 $3.38 0.9% 0.9% Mythic No
13 Phlage, Titan of Fire's Fury $0.27 $3.29 0.9% 0.9% Mythic No
14 Warren Soultrader $0.27 $3.24 0.9% 0.9% Rare Yes
15 Unknown Card $0.27 $3.20 0.9% 0.9% Unknown No
16 Unknown Card $0.27 $3.29 0.9% 0.9% Unknown Yes
17 Psychic Frog $0.27 $3.20 0.9% 0.9% Rare Yes
18 Ugin's Labyrinth $0.26 $3.17 0.9% 0.9% Mythic No
19 Phelia, Exuberant Shepherd $0.25 $3.01 0.8% 0.8% Rare No
20 Toxic Deluge $0.25 $2.94 0.8% 0.8% Rare No

These top 20 cards contribute 23.0% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.