MH2

Modern Horizons 2

Modern Horizons 2 Set Booster

▲ +0.19%
since last update
Box EV $270.37 ±$56.59 Pack EV $9.01 ±$10.33 Packs per Box 30 Last Updated Jun 7, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $270.37
$214 $270 $327
Pack Expected Value: $9.01
Deviation: ±$10.33
Packs per Box: 30

EV Trend

Percent Change:
▲ +0.19%
Dollar Change:
▲ +$0.51

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Urza's Saga $0.35 $10.47 3.9% 3.9% Rare No
2 Cabal Coffers $0.26 $7.79 2.9% 2.9% Mythic No
3 Esper Sentinel $0.24 $7.14 2.6% 2.6% Rare No
4 Arid Mesa $0.22 $6.66 2.5% 2.5% Rare No
5 Scalding Tarn $0.22 $6.56 2.4% 2.4% Rare No
6 Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer $0.21 $6.31 2.3% 2.3% Mythic No
7 Misty Rainforest $0.20 $6.06 2.2% 2.2% Rare No
8 Marsh Flats $0.20 $5.97 2.2% 2.2% Rare No
9 Verdant Catacombs $0.19 $5.82 2.1% 2.1% Rare No
10 Urza's Saga $0.18 $5.43 2.0% 2.0% Rare No
11 Sword of Hearth and Home $0.16 $4.65 1.7% 1.7% Mythic No
12 Cabal Coffers $0.16 $4.73 1.8% 1.8% Mythic Yes
13 Patriarch's Bidding $0.15 $4.36 1.6% 1.6% Rare No
14 Counterspell $0.15 $4.65 1.7% 1.7% Uncommon No
15 Sterling Grove $0.14 $4.31 1.6% 1.6% Rare No
16 Imperial Recruiter $0.14 $4.24 1.6% 1.6% Mythic No
17 Misty Rainforest $0.14 $4.12 1.5% 1.5% Rare No
18 Scalding Tarn $0.14 $4.12 1.5% 1.5% Rare No
19 Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer $0.13 $3.89 1.4% 1.4% Mythic No
20 Solitude $0.12 $3.70 1.4% 1.4% Mythic Yes

These top 20 cards contribute 41.0% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.