MH2

Modern Horizons 2

Modern Horizons 2 Draft Booster

▼ -0.76%
since last update
Box EV $260.42 ±$60.60 Pack EV $7.23 ±$10.10 Packs per Box 36 Last Updated Jun 7, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $260.42
$200 $260 $321
Pack Expected Value: $7.23
Deviation: ±$10.10
Packs per Box: 36

EV Trend

Percent Change:
▼ -0.76%
Dollar Change:
▼ $-2.00

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Urza's Saga $0.39 $13.88 5.3% 5.3% Rare Yes
2 Esper Sentinel $0.36 $12.94 5.0% 5.0% Rare No
3 Scalding Tarn $0.28 $9.93 3.8% 3.8% Rare No
4 Marsh Flats $0.26 $9.29 3.6% 3.6% Rare No
5 Misty Rainforest $0.25 $8.91 3.4% 3.4% Rare No
6 Verdant Catacombs $0.24 $8.59 3.3% 3.3% Rare No
7 Esper Sentinel $0.24 $8.59 3.3% 3.3% Rare No
8 Arid Mesa $0.19 $6.80 2.6% 2.6% Rare No
9 Urza's Saga $0.18 $6.54 2.5% 2.5% Rare No
10 Misty Rainforest $0.16 $5.75 2.2% 2.2% Rare No
11 Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer $0.15 $5.39 2.1% 2.1% Mythic No
12 Scalding Tarn $0.15 $5.23 2.0% 2.0% Rare No
13 Verdant Catacombs $0.14 $5.00 1.9% 1.9% Rare No
14 Arid Mesa $0.13 $4.62 1.8% 1.8% Rare No
15 Marsh Flats $0.12 $4.24 1.6% 1.6% Rare No
16 Yavimaya, Cradle of Growth $0.10 $3.46 1.3% 1.3% Rare Yes
17 Sword of Hearth and Home $0.09 $3.20 1.2% 1.2% Mythic No
18 Counterspell $0.08 $3.04 1.2% 1.2% Uncommon No
19 Solitude $0.08 $2.99 1.1% 1.1% Mythic No
20 Solitude $0.08 $2.98 1.1% 1.1% Mythic No

These top 20 cards contribute 50.5% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.