MH2

Modern Horizons 2

Modern Horizons 2 Collector Booster

▲ +0.08%
since last update
Box EV $348.08 ±$73.46 Pack EV $29.01 ±$21.21 Packs per Box 12 Last Updated Jun 7, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $348.08
$275 $348 $422
Pack Expected Value: $29.01
Deviation: ±$21.21
Packs per Box: 12

EV Trend

Percent Change:
▲ +0.08%
Dollar Change:
▲ +$0.27

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Urza's Saga $1.55 $18.65 5.4% 5.4% Rare No
2 Esper Sentinel $1.37 $16.41 4.7% 4.7% Rare No
3 Misty Rainforest $1.03 $12.38 3.6% 3.6% Rare No
4 Scalding Tarn $1.00 $12.00 3.5% 3.5% Rare Yes
5 Scalding Tarn $0.92 $10.98 3.2% 3.2% Rare Yes
6 Marsh Flats $0.90 $10.80 3.1% 3.1% Rare Yes
7 Verdant Catacombs $0.89 $10.67 3.1% 3.1% Rare No
8 Arid Mesa $0.88 $10.60 3.0% 3.0% Rare Yes
9 Arid Mesa $0.79 $9.46 2.7% 2.7% Rare Yes
10 Misty Rainforest $0.78 $9.31 2.7% 2.7% Rare Yes
11 Verdant Catacombs $0.78 $9.32 2.7% 2.7% Rare Yes
12 Cabal Coffers $0.73 $8.73 2.5% 2.5% Mythic Yes
13 Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer $0.63 $7.59 2.2% 2.2% Mythic No
14 Marsh Flats $0.61 $7.32 2.1% 2.1% Rare Yes
15 Solitude $0.50 $6.04 1.7% 1.7% Mythic Yes
16 Yavimaya, Cradle of Growth $0.46 $5.51 1.6% 1.6% Rare No
17 Unknown Card $0.45 $5.34 1.5% 1.5% Unknown Yes
18 Yavimaya, Cradle of Growth $0.44 $5.29 1.5% 1.5% Rare Yes
19 Sword of Hearth and Home $0.44 $5.24 1.5% 1.5% Mythic Yes
20 Dauthi Voidwalker $0.28 $3.31 0.9% 0.9% Rare No

These top 20 cards contribute 53.1% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.