MBS
Mirrodin Besieged
Mirrodin Besieged Draft Booster
▼
-0.37%
since last update
Box EV $224.12 | Pack EV $6.23 | Packs per Box 36 | Last Updated May 29, 2025 |
Key Statistics
Box Expected Value: |
$224.12
$175
$224
$273
|
---|---|
Pack Expected Value: |
$6.23
Deviation: ±$8.18
|
Packs per Box: | 36 |
EV Trend
Percent Change: |
▼
-0.37%
|
Dollar Change: |
▼
$-0.84
|
Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales
Sale Price (S): | $0.00 |
Seller Fee: | -$0.00 (0.00%) |
Net EV After Fees: | $0.00 |
Fee Visualization
Top-20 Value Contributors
# | Card Name | $/Pack | $/Box | % Pack EV | % Box EV | Rarity | Foil? |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Green Sun's Zenith | $0.88 | $31.64 | 14.1% | 14.1% | Rare | No |
2 | Consecrated Sphinx | $0.48 | $17.38 | 7.8% | 7.8% | Mythic | Yes |
3 | Blightsteel Colossus | $0.46 | $16.66 | 7.4% | 7.4% | Mythic | No |
4 | Inkmoth Nexus | $0.34 | $12.35 | 5.5% | 5.5% | Rare | No |
5 | Sword of Feast and Famine | $0.30 | $10.85 | 4.8% | 4.8% | Mythic | No |
6 | Brass Squire | $0.29 | $10.59 | 4.7% | 4.7% | Uncommon | No |
7 | Phyresis | $0.21 | $7.47 | 3.3% | 3.3% | Common | No |
8 | Darksteel Plate | $0.19 | $6.90 | 3.1% | 3.1% | Rare | No |
9 | Plague Myr | $0.16 | $5.69 | 2.5% | 2.5% | Uncommon | No |
10 | Phyrexian Crusader | $0.15 | $5.54 | 2.5% | 2.5% | Rare | No |
11 | Myr Turbine | $0.14 | $4.88 | 2.2% | 2.2% | Rare | No |
12 | Hero of Bladehold | $0.09 | $3.09 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Mythic | No |
13 | Fuel for the Cause | $0.08 | $2.99 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Common | No |
14 | Fangren Marauder | $0.07 | $2.61 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Common | No |
15 | Go for the Throat | $0.07 | $2.34 | 1.0% | 1.0% | Uncommon | No |
16 | Mirrorworks | $0.07 | $2.42 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Rare | No |
17 | Corrupted Conscience | $0.07 | $2.54 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Uncommon | No |
18 | Septic Rats | $0.06 | $2.28 | 1.0% | 1.0% | Uncommon | No |
19 | Creeping Corrosion | $0.05 | $1.80 | 0.8% | 0.8% | Rare | No |
20 | Myr Welder | $0.05 | $1.63 | 0.7% | 0.7% | Rare | No |
These top 20 cards contribute 67.7% of the box's total Expected Value.
Understanding EV Calculation & Trends
The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:
- Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
- Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
- Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
- Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices
Variance & Confidence
The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.
EV Trend Analysis
Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:
- Green values indicate an increase.
- Red values indicate a decrease.
- Gray indicates no significant change.
Note: EV is a statistical expectation based on probabilities and market data. It's a powerful tool for analysis, but actual results from opening a box will vary due to randomness. Prices are sourced from TCGPlayer Market Prices (Normal/Foil) - Stratified Sampling.