MB1

Mystery Booster

Mystery Booster Pack Convention Edition

+0.03%
since last update
Box EV $267.32 ±$40.10 Pack EV $11.14 ±$8.18 Packs per Box 24 Last Updated Jun 7, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $267.32
$227 $267 $307
Pack Expected Value: $11.14
Deviation: ±$8.18
Packs per Box: 24

EV Trend

Percent Change:
+0.03%
Dollar Change:
+$0.08

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Unknown Card $0.24 $5.83 2.2% 2.2% Unknown No
2 Unknown Card $0.23 $5.54 2.1% 2.1% Unknown No
3 Unknown Card $0.19 $4.51 1.7% 1.7% Unknown No
4 Unknown Card $0.19 $4.50 1.7% 1.7% Unknown No
5 Unknown Card $0.18 $4.37 1.6% 1.6% Unknown No
6 Unknown Card $0.15 $3.56 1.3% 1.3% Unknown No
7 Unknown Card $0.14 $3.46 1.3% 1.3% Unknown No
8 Unknown Card $0.13 $3.12 1.2% 1.2% Unknown No
9 Unknown Card $0.13 $3.17 1.2% 1.2% Unknown No
10 Unknown Card $0.13 $3.06 1.1% 1.1% Unknown No
11 Unknown Card $0.13 $3.13 1.2% 1.2% Unknown No
12 Unknown Card $0.12 $2.95 1.1% 1.1% Unknown No
13 Unknown Card $0.12 $2.81 1.1% 1.1% Unknown No
14 Unknown Card $0.12 $2.99 1.1% 1.1% Unknown No
15 Unknown Card $0.12 $2.84 1.1% 1.1% Unknown No
16 Unknown Card $0.12 $2.92 1.1% 1.1% Unknown No
17 Unknown Card $0.12 $2.84 1.1% 1.1% Unknown No
18 Unknown Card $0.12 $2.95 1.1% 1.1% Unknown No
19 Unknown Card $0.12 $2.99 1.1% 1.1% Unknown No
20 Unknown Card $0.11 $2.58 1.0% 1.0% Unknown No

These top 20 cards contribute 26.2% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.