MB1
Mystery Booster
Mystery Booster Pack Convention Edition
▲
+0.03%
since last update
Box EV $267.32 | Pack EV $11.14 | Packs per Box 24 | Last Updated Jun 7, 2025 |
Key Statistics
Box Expected Value: |
$267.32
$227
$267
$307
|
---|---|
Pack Expected Value: |
$11.14
Deviation: ±$8.18
|
Packs per Box: | 24 |
EV Trend
Percent Change: |
▲
+0.03%
|
Dollar Change: |
▲
+$0.08
|
Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales
Sale Price (S): | $0.00 |
Seller Fee: | -$0.00 (0.00%) |
Net EV After Fees: | $0.00 |
Fee Visualization
Top-20 Value Contributors
# | Card Name | $/Pack | $/Box | % Pack EV | % Box EV | Rarity | Foil? |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Unknown Card | $0.24 | $5.83 | 2.2% | 2.2% | Unknown | No |
2 | Unknown Card | $0.23 | $5.54 | 2.1% | 2.1% | Unknown | No |
3 | Unknown Card | $0.19 | $4.51 | 1.7% | 1.7% | Unknown | No |
4 | Unknown Card | $0.19 | $4.50 | 1.7% | 1.7% | Unknown | No |
5 | Unknown Card | $0.18 | $4.37 | 1.6% | 1.6% | Unknown | No |
6 | Unknown Card | $0.15 | $3.56 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Unknown | No |
7 | Unknown Card | $0.14 | $3.46 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Unknown | No |
8 | Unknown Card | $0.13 | $3.12 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Unknown | No |
9 | Unknown Card | $0.13 | $3.17 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Unknown | No |
10 | Unknown Card | $0.13 | $3.06 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Unknown | No |
11 | Unknown Card | $0.13 | $3.13 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Unknown | No |
12 | Unknown Card | $0.12 | $2.95 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Unknown | No |
13 | Unknown Card | $0.12 | $2.81 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Unknown | No |
14 | Unknown Card | $0.12 | $2.99 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Unknown | No |
15 | Unknown Card | $0.12 | $2.84 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Unknown | No |
16 | Unknown Card | $0.12 | $2.92 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Unknown | No |
17 | Unknown Card | $0.12 | $2.84 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Unknown | No |
18 | Unknown Card | $0.12 | $2.95 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Unknown | No |
19 | Unknown Card | $0.12 | $2.99 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Unknown | No |
20 | Unknown Card | $0.11 | $2.58 | 1.0% | 1.0% | Unknown | No |
These top 20 cards contribute 26.2% of the box's total Expected Value.
Understanding EV Calculation & Trends
The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:
- Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
- Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
- Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
- Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices
Variance & Confidence
The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.
EV Trend Analysis
Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:
- Green values indicate an increase.
- Red values indicate a decrease.
- Gray indicates no significant change.
Note: EV is a statistical expectation based on probabilities and market data. It's a powerful tool for analysis, but actual results from opening a box will vary due to randomness. Prices are sourced from TCGPlayer Market Prices (Normal/Foil) - Stratified Sampling.