M20
Core Set 2020
Core Set 2020 Draft Booster
▼
-0.15%
since last update
Box EV $161.95 | Pack EV $4.50 | Packs per Box 36 | Last Updated May 29, 2025 |
Key Statistics
Box Expected Value: |
$161.95
$124
$162
$200
|
---|---|
Pack Expected Value: |
$4.50
Deviation: ±$6.38
|
Packs per Box: | 36 |
EV Trend
Percent Change: |
▼
-0.15%
|
Dollar Change: |
▼
$-0.25
|
Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales
Sale Price (S): | $0.00 |
Seller Fee: | -$0.00 (0.00%) |
Net EV After Fees: | $0.00 |
Fee Visualization
Top-20 Value Contributors
# | Card Name | $/Pack | $/Box | % Pack EV | % Box EV | Rarity | Foil? |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Field of the Dead | $0.78 | $28.08 | 17.3% | 17.3% | Rare | No |
2 | Veil of Summer | $0.25 | $9.08 | 5.6% | 5.6% | Uncommon | No |
3 | Vilis, Broker of Blood | $0.15 | $5.54 | 3.4% | 3.4% | Rare | No |
4 | Lotus Field | $0.13 | $4.72 | 2.9% | 2.9% | Rare | No |
5 | Colossus Hammer | $0.11 | $3.98 | 2.5% | 2.5% | Uncommon | No |
6 | Glint-Horn Buccaneer | $0.10 | $3.77 | 2.3% | 2.3% | Rare | No |
7 | Scheming Symmetry | $0.10 | $3.59 | 2.2% | 2.2% | Rare | No |
8 | Voracious Hydra | $0.10 | $3.64 | 2.3% | 2.3% | Rare | No |
9 | Omnath, Locus of the Roil | $0.09 | $3.10 | 1.9% | 1.9% | Mythic | No |
10 | Vampire of the Dire Moon | $0.09 | $3.10 | 1.9% | 1.9% | Uncommon | Yes |
11 | Elvish Reclaimer | $0.09 | $3.20 | 2.0% | 2.0% | Rare | No |
12 | Agent of Treachery | $0.09 | $3.21 | 2.0% | 2.0% | Rare | No |
13 | Kethis, the Hidden Hand | $0.09 | $3.10 | 1.9% | 1.9% | Mythic | No |
14 | Kaalia, Zenith Seeker | $0.09 | $3.26 | 2.0% | 2.0% | Mythic | No |
15 | Bishop of Wings | $0.08 | $2.80 | 1.7% | 1.7% | Rare | No |
16 | Golos, Tireless Pilgrim | $0.07 | $2.43 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Rare | No |
17 | Chandra, Awakened Inferno | $0.07 | $2.53 | 1.6% | 1.6% | Mythic | No |
18 | Corpse Knight | $0.06 | $2.00 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Uncommon | No |
19 | Knight of the Ebon Legion | $0.06 | $2.12 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Rare | No |
20 | Sephara, Sky's Blade | $0.06 | $2.01 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Rare | No |
These top 20 cards contribute 58.8% of the box's total Expected Value.
Understanding EV Calculation & Trends
The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:
- Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
- Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
- Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
- Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices
Variance & Confidence
The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.
EV Trend Analysis
Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:
- Green values indicate an increase.
- Red values indicate a decrease.
- Gray indicates no significant change.
Note: EV is a statistical expectation based on probabilities and market data. It's a powerful tool for analysis, but actual results from opening a box will vary due to randomness. Prices are sourced from TCGPlayer Market Prices (Normal/Foil) - Stratified Sampling.