LTR
The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth
The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth Jumpstart Booster
▼
-1.66%
since last update
Box EV $120.12 | Pack EV $6.01 | Packs per Box 20 | Last Updated Jun 7, 2025 |
Key Statistics
Box Expected Value: |
$120.12
$83
$120
$157
|
---|---|
Pack Expected Value: |
$6.01
Deviation: ±$8.20
|
Packs per Box: | 20 |
EV Trend
Percent Change: |
▼
-1.66%
|
Dollar Change: |
▼
$-2.02
|
Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales
Sale Price (S): | $0.00 |
Seller Fee: | -$0.00 (0.00%) |
Net EV After Fees: | $0.00 |
Fee Visualization
Top-20 Value Contributors
# | Card Name | $/Pack | $/Box | % Pack EV | % Box EV | Rarity | Foil? |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Nazgûl | $1.17 | $23.35 | 19.4% | 19.4% | Uncommon | No |
2 | Orcish Bowmasters | $0.89 | $17.70 | 14.7% | 14.7% | Rare | No |
3 | Elanor Gardner | $0.54 | $10.79 | 9.0% | 9.0% | Rare | No |
4 | Delighted Halfling | $0.36 | $7.12 | 5.9% | 5.9% | Rare | No |
5 | Last March of the Ents | $0.36 | $7.11 | 5.9% | 5.9% | Mythic | No |
6 | Elvish Mariner | $0.14 | $2.83 | 2.4% | 2.4% | Rare | No |
7 | Plains | $0.13 | $2.51 | 2.1% | 2.1% | Common | No |
8 | Mountain | $0.13 | $2.57 | 2.1% | 2.1% | Common | No |
9 | Forest | $0.13 | $2.67 | 2.2% | 2.2% | Common | No |
10 | Flowering of the White Tree | $0.13 | $2.51 | 2.1% | 2.1% | Rare | No |
11 | Island | $0.11 | $2.19 | 1.8% | 1.8% | Common | No |
12 | Swamp | $0.11 | $2.26 | 1.9% | 1.9% | Common | No |
13 | Ringwraiths | $0.11 | $2.27 | 1.9% | 1.9% | Rare | No |
14 | Forge Anew | $0.10 | $2.07 | 1.7% | 1.7% | Rare | No |
15 | Reprieve | $0.08 | $1.56 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Uncommon | No |
16 | There and Back Again | $0.08 | $1.64 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Rare | No |
17 | Witch-king of Angmar | $0.08 | $1.55 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Mythic | No |
18 | Call of the Ring | $0.07 | $1.49 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Rare | No |
19 | Elven Chorus | $0.07 | $1.35 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Rare | No |
20 | Borne Upon a Wind | $0.07 | $1.31 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Rare | No |
These top 20 cards contribute 80.6% of the box's total Expected Value.
Understanding EV Calculation & Trends
The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:
- Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
- Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
- Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
- Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices
Variance & Confidence
The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.
EV Trend Analysis
Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:
- Green values indicate an increase.
- Red values indicate a decrease.
- Gray indicates no significant change.
Note: EV is a statistical expectation based on probabilities and market data. It's a powerful tool for analysis, but actual results from opening a box will vary due to randomness. Prices are sourced from TCGPlayer Market Prices (Normal/Foil) - Stratified Sampling.