LTR

The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth

The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth Jumpstart Booster

-1.66%
since last update
Box EV $120.12 ±$36.65 Pack EV $6.01 ±$8.20 Packs per Box 20 Last Updated Jun 7, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $120.12
$83 $120 $157
Pack Expected Value: $6.01
Deviation: ±$8.20
Packs per Box: 20

EV Trend

Percent Change:
-1.66%
Dollar Change:
$-2.02

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Nazgûl $1.17 $23.35 19.4% 19.4% Uncommon No
2 Orcish Bowmasters $0.89 $17.70 14.7% 14.7% Rare No
3 Elanor Gardner $0.54 $10.79 9.0% 9.0% Rare No
4 Delighted Halfling $0.36 $7.12 5.9% 5.9% Rare No
5 Last March of the Ents $0.36 $7.11 5.9% 5.9% Mythic No
6 Elvish Mariner $0.14 $2.83 2.4% 2.4% Rare No
7 Plains $0.13 $2.51 2.1% 2.1% Common No
8 Mountain $0.13 $2.57 2.1% 2.1% Common No
9 Forest $0.13 $2.67 2.2% 2.2% Common No
10 Flowering of the White Tree $0.13 $2.51 2.1% 2.1% Rare No
11 Island $0.11 $2.19 1.8% 1.8% Common No
12 Swamp $0.11 $2.26 1.9% 1.9% Common No
13 Ringwraiths $0.11 $2.27 1.9% 1.9% Rare No
14 Forge Anew $0.10 $2.07 1.7% 1.7% Rare No
15 Reprieve $0.08 $1.56 1.3% 1.3% Uncommon No
16 There and Back Again $0.08 $1.64 1.4% 1.4% Rare No
17 Witch-king of Angmar $0.08 $1.55 1.3% 1.3% Mythic No
18 Call of the Ring $0.07 $1.49 1.2% 1.2% Rare No
19 Elven Chorus $0.07 $1.35 1.1% 1.1% Rare No
20 Borne Upon a Wind $0.07 $1.31 1.1% 1.1% Rare No

These top 20 cards contribute 80.6% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.