LTR

The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth

The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth Draft Booster

+0.42%
since last update
Box EV $182.10 ±$45.13 Pack EV $5.06 ±$7.52 Packs per Box 36 Last Updated Jun 7, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $182.10
$137 $182 $227
Pack Expected Value: $5.06
Deviation: ±$7.52
Packs per Box: 36

EV Trend

Percent Change:
+0.42%
Dollar Change:
+$0.77

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Orcish Bowmasters $0.36 $12.78 7.0% 7.0% Rare No
2 Orcish Bowmasters $0.27 $9.65 5.3% 5.3% Rare No
3 The One Ring $0.27 $9.59 5.3% 5.3% Mythic No
4 Mithril Coat $0.18 $6.50 3.6% 3.6% Rare No
5 Last March of the Ents $0.15 $5.34 2.9% 2.9% Mythic Yes
6 Delighted Halfling $0.15 $5.44 3.0% 3.0% Rare Yes
7 Lórien Revealed $0.11 $4.13 2.3% 2.3% Common No
8 The One Ring $0.10 $3.71 2.0% 2.0% Mythic No
9 Palantír of Orthanc $0.09 $3.27 1.8% 1.8% Mythic No
10 Delighted Halfling $0.09 $3.29 1.8% 1.8% Rare No
11 Last March of the Ents $0.09 $3.18 1.8% 1.8% Mythic No
12 Sauron, the Dark Lord $0.08 $3.03 1.7% 1.7% Mythic No
13 Entish Restoration $0.07 $2.41 1.3% 1.3% Uncommon No
14 Lotho, Corrupt Shirriff $0.07 $2.58 1.4% 1.4% Rare No
15 Nazgûl $0.06 $2.07 1.1% 1.1% Uncommon No
16 Generous Ent $0.05 $1.76 1.0% 1.0% Common No
17 Mirkwood Bats $0.05 $1.96 1.1% 1.1% Common No
18 Nazgûl $0.05 $1.77 1.0% 1.0% Uncommon No
19 Nazgûl $0.05 $1.72 0.9% 0.9% Uncommon No
20 Flowering of the White Tree $0.05 $1.87 1.0% 1.0% Rare No

These top 20 cards contribute 47.3% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.