LTR
The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth
The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth Collector Booster
▼
-0.21%
since last update
Box EV $405.30 | Pack EV $33.77 | Packs per Box 12 | Last Updated Jun 7, 2025 |
Key Statistics
Box Expected Value: |
$405.30
$327
$405
$484
|
---|---|
Pack Expected Value: |
$33.77
Deviation: ±$22.63
|
Packs per Box: | 12 |
EV Trend
Percent Change: |
▼
-0.21%
|
Dollar Change: |
▼
$-0.85
|
Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales
Sale Price (S): | $0.00 |
Seller Fee: | -$0.00 (0.00%) |
Net EV After Fees: | $0.00 |
Fee Visualization
Top-20 Value Contributors
# | Card Name | $/Pack | $/Box | % Pack EV | % Box EV | Rarity | Foil? |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Unknown Card | $0.90 | $10.80 | 2.7% | 2.7% | Unknown | No |
2 | Unknown Card | $0.87 | $10.44 | 2.6% | 2.6% | Unknown | No |
3 | Orcish Bowmasters | $0.83 | $9.90 | 2.4% | 2.4% | Rare | No |
4 | The One Ring | $0.78 | $9.30 | 2.3% | 2.3% | Mythic | No |
5 | Unknown Card | $0.78 | $9.30 | 2.3% | 2.3% | Unknown | No |
6 | Unknown Card | $0.74 | $8.84 | 2.2% | 2.2% | Unknown | No |
7 | Unknown Card | $0.74 | $8.88 | 2.2% | 2.2% | Unknown | No |
8 | Unknown Card | $0.73 | $8.76 | 2.2% | 2.2% | Unknown | No |
9 | Unknown Card | $0.72 | $8.62 | 2.1% | 2.1% | Unknown | No |
10 | Unknown Card | $0.70 | $8.35 | 2.1% | 2.1% | Unknown | No |
11 | Unknown Card | $0.69 | $8.34 | 2.1% | 2.1% | Unknown | No |
12 | Mithril Coat | $0.62 | $7.38 | 1.8% | 1.8% | Rare | No |
13 | Unknown Card | $0.57 | $6.87 | 1.7% | 1.7% | Unknown | No |
14 | Orcish Bowmasters | $0.56 | $6.73 | 1.7% | 1.7% | Rare | Yes |
15 | Unknown Card | $0.54 | $6.48 | 1.6% | 1.6% | Unknown | No |
16 | Delighted Halfling | $0.53 | $6.38 | 1.6% | 1.6% | Rare | No |
17 | The One Ring | $0.49 | $5.85 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Mythic | No |
18 | Unknown Card | $0.46 | $5.49 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Unknown | No |
19 | Unknown Card | $0.46 | $5.58 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Unknown | No |
20 | Delighted Halfling | $0.43 | $5.17 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Rare | No |
These top 20 cards contribute 38.8% of the box's total Expected Value.
Understanding EV Calculation & Trends
The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:
- Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
- Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
- Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
- Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices
Variance & Confidence
The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.
EV Trend Analysis
Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:
- Green values indicate an increase.
- Red values indicate a decrease.
- Gray indicates no significant change.
Note: EV is a statistical expectation based on probabilities and market data. It's a powerful tool for analysis, but actual results from opening a box will vary due to randomness. Prices are sourced from TCGPlayer Market Prices (Normal/Foil) - Stratified Sampling.