KTK

Khans of Tarkir

Khans of Tarkir Draft Booster

▲ +0.24%
since last update
Box EV $121.17 ±$24.49 Pack EV $3.37 ±$4.08 Packs per Box 36 Last Updated May 29, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $121.17
$97 $121 $146
Pack Expected Value: $3.37
Deviation: ±$4.08
Packs per Box: 36

EV Trend

Percent Change:
▲ +0.24%
Dollar Change:
▲ +$0.29

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Polluted Delta $0.25 $9.07 7.5% 7.5% Rare No
2 Bloodstained Mire $0.25 $8.82 7.3% 7.3% Rare No
3 Altar of the Brood $0.24 $8.80 7.3% 7.3% Rare No
4 Wooded Foothills $0.23 $8.37 6.9% 6.9% Rare No
5 Brave the Sands $0.21 $7.46 6.2% 6.2% Uncommon No
6 Flooded Strand $0.19 $6.98 5.8% 5.8% Rare No
7 Stubborn Denial $0.17 $6.24 5.2% 5.2% Uncommon No
8 Windswept Heath $0.12 $4.44 3.7% 3.7% Rare No
9 Temur Ascendancy $0.08 $2.99 2.5% 2.5% Rare No
10 Surrak Dragonclaw $0.04 $1.28 1.1% 1.1% Mythic No
11 Jeskai Ascendancy $0.04 $1.34 1.1% 1.1% Rare No
12 Deflecting Palm $0.03 $0.95 0.8% 0.8% Rare No
13 Treasure Cruise $0.03 $1.03 0.8% 0.8% Common No
14 Nomad Outpost $0.03 $0.99 0.8% 0.8% Uncommon No
15 Clever Impersonator $0.03 $1.12 0.9% 0.9% Mythic No
16 Hardened Scales $0.03 $1.00 0.8% 0.8% Rare No
17 Mardu Banner $0.02 $0.62 0.5% 0.5% Common No
18 Monastery Swiftspear $0.02 $0.80 0.7% 0.7% Uncommon No
19 Feed the Clan $0.02 $0.87 0.7% 0.7% Common No
20 Rattleclaw Mystic $0.02 $0.55 0.5% 0.5% Rare No

These top 20 cards contribute 60.8% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.