ISD

Innistrad

Innistrad Draft Booster

▲ +0.94%
since last update
Box EV $154.48 ±$34.44 Pack EV $4.29 ±$5.74 Packs per Box 36 Last Updated May 29, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $154.48
$120 $154 $189
Pack Expected Value: $4.29
Deviation: ±$5.74
Packs per Box: 36

EV Trend

Percent Change:
▲ +0.94%
Dollar Change:
▲ +$1.43

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Parallel Lives $0.66 $23.59 15.3% 15.3% Rare No
2 Snapcaster Mage $0.23 $8.42 5.5% 5.5% Rare No
3 Moonmist $0.22 $7.81 5.0% 5.0% Common No
4 Liliana of the Veil $0.17 $6.29 4.1% 4.1% Mythic No
5 Balefire Dragon $0.11 $3.79 2.5% 2.5% Mythic No
6 Bloodline Keeper // Lord of Lineage $0.10 $3.73 2.4% 2.4% Rare No
7 Endless Ranks of the Dead $0.09 $3.10 2.0% 2.0% Rare No
8 Stony Silence $0.08 $2.92 1.9% 1.9% Rare No
9 Tree of Redemption $0.06 $2.03 1.3% 1.3% Mythic No
10 Olivia Voldaren $0.06 $1.98 1.3% 1.3% Mythic No
11 Blasphemous Act $0.05 $1.98 1.3% 1.3% Rare No
12 Invisible Stalker $0.05 $1.85 1.2% 1.2% Uncommon No
13 Avacyn's Pilgrim $0.05 $1.69 1.1% 1.1% Common No
14 Infernal Plunge $0.05 $1.91 1.2% 1.2% Common No
15 Rooftop Storm $0.05 $1.73 1.1% 1.1% Rare No
16 Delver of Secrets // Insectile Aberration $0.04 $1.29 0.8% 0.8% Common No
17 Ghost Quarter $0.04 $1.26 0.8% 0.8% Uncommon No
18 Gavony Township $0.04 $1.39 0.9% 0.9% Rare No
19 Laboratory Maniac $0.04 $1.26 0.8% 0.8% Rare No
20 Mask of Avacyn $0.04 $1.32 0.9% 0.9% Uncommon No

These top 20 cards contribute 51.4% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.