IKO

Ikoria: Lair of Behemoths

Ikoria: Lair of Behemoths Draft Booster

+0.08%
since last update
Box EV $161.56 ±$42.83 Pack EV $4.49 ±$7.14 Packs per Box 36 Last Updated Jun 7, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $161.56
$119 $162 $204
Pack Expected Value: $4.49
Deviation: ±$7.14
Packs per Box: 36

EV Trend

Percent Change:
+0.08%
Dollar Change:
+$0.13

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 The Ozolith $0.62 $22.16 13.7% 13.7% Rare No
2 Zagoth Triome $0.28 $9.95 6.2% 6.2% Rare No
3 Savai Triome $0.24 $8.78 5.4% 5.4% Rare No
4 Drannith Magistrate $0.23 $8.34 5.2% 5.2% Rare No
5 Indatha Triome $0.22 $7.78 4.8% 4.8% Rare No
6 Ketria Triome $0.17 $5.98 3.7% 3.7% Rare No
7 Raugrin Triome $0.17 $6.10 3.8% 3.8% Rare No
8 Savai Triome $0.16 $5.92 3.7% 3.7% Rare No
9 Zagoth Triome $0.14 $5.14 3.2% 3.2% Rare No
10 Indatha Triome $0.13 $4.73 2.9% 2.9% Rare No
11 Kinnan, Bonder Prodigy $0.12 $4.24 2.6% 2.6% Mythic No
12 Ketria Triome $0.12 $4.49 2.8% 2.8% Rare No
13 Ruinous Ultimatum $0.10 $3.45 2.1% 2.1% Rare No
14 Raugrin Triome $0.09 $3.34 2.1% 2.1% Rare No
15 Eerie Ultimatum $0.07 $2.41 1.5% 1.5% Rare No
16 Swamp $0.05 $1.90 1.2% 1.2% Common No
17 Winota, Joiner of Forces $0.05 $1.83 1.1% 1.1% Mythic No
18 Reconnaissance Mission $0.04 $1.30 0.8% 0.8% Uncommon No
19 Ominous Seas $0.04 $1.29 0.8% 0.8% Uncommon No
20 Forest $0.04 $1.28 0.8% 0.8% Common No

These top 20 cards contribute 68.3% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.