IKO
Ikoria: Lair of Behemoths
Ikoria: Lair of Behemoths Draft Booster
▲
+0.08%
since last update
Box EV $161.56 | Pack EV $4.49 | Packs per Box 36 | Last Updated Jun 7, 2025 |
Key Statistics
Box Expected Value: |
$161.56
$119
$162
$204
|
---|---|
Pack Expected Value: |
$4.49
Deviation: ±$7.14
|
Packs per Box: | 36 |
EV Trend
Percent Change: |
▲
+0.08%
|
Dollar Change: |
▲
+$0.13
|
Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales
Sale Price (S): | $0.00 |
Seller Fee: | -$0.00 (0.00%) |
Net EV After Fees: | $0.00 |
Fee Visualization
Top-20 Value Contributors
# | Card Name | $/Pack | $/Box | % Pack EV | % Box EV | Rarity | Foil? |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | The Ozolith | $0.62 | $22.16 | 13.7% | 13.7% | Rare | No |
2 | Zagoth Triome | $0.28 | $9.95 | 6.2% | 6.2% | Rare | No |
3 | Savai Triome | $0.24 | $8.78 | 5.4% | 5.4% | Rare | No |
4 | Drannith Magistrate | $0.23 | $8.34 | 5.2% | 5.2% | Rare | No |
5 | Indatha Triome | $0.22 | $7.78 | 4.8% | 4.8% | Rare | No |
6 | Ketria Triome | $0.17 | $5.98 | 3.7% | 3.7% | Rare | No |
7 | Raugrin Triome | $0.17 | $6.10 | 3.8% | 3.8% | Rare | No |
8 | Savai Triome | $0.16 | $5.92 | 3.7% | 3.7% | Rare | No |
9 | Zagoth Triome | $0.14 | $5.14 | 3.2% | 3.2% | Rare | No |
10 | Indatha Triome | $0.13 | $4.73 | 2.9% | 2.9% | Rare | No |
11 | Kinnan, Bonder Prodigy | $0.12 | $4.24 | 2.6% | 2.6% | Mythic | No |
12 | Ketria Triome | $0.12 | $4.49 | 2.8% | 2.8% | Rare | No |
13 | Ruinous Ultimatum | $0.10 | $3.45 | 2.1% | 2.1% | Rare | No |
14 | Raugrin Triome | $0.09 | $3.34 | 2.1% | 2.1% | Rare | No |
15 | Eerie Ultimatum | $0.07 | $2.41 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Rare | No |
16 | Swamp | $0.05 | $1.90 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Common | No |
17 | Winota, Joiner of Forces | $0.05 | $1.83 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Mythic | No |
18 | Reconnaissance Mission | $0.04 | $1.30 | 0.8% | 0.8% | Uncommon | No |
19 | Ominous Seas | $0.04 | $1.29 | 0.8% | 0.8% | Uncommon | No |
20 | Forest | $0.04 | $1.28 | 0.8% | 0.8% | Common | No |
These top 20 cards contribute 68.3% of the box's total Expected Value.
Understanding EV Calculation & Trends
The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:
- Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
- Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
- Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
- Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices
Variance & Confidence
The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.
EV Trend Analysis
Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:
- Green values indicate an increase.
- Red values indicate a decrease.
- Gray indicates no significant change.
Note: EV is a statistical expectation based on probabilities and market data. It's a powerful tool for analysis, but actual results from opening a box will vary due to randomness. Prices are sourced from TCGPlayer Market Prices (Normal/Foil) - Stratified Sampling.