GTC

Gatecrash

Gatecrash Prerelease Pack Simic

— 0.00%
since last update
Box EV $24.39 ±$11.61 Pack EV $4.07 ±$4.74 Packs per Box 6 Last Updated May 29, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $24.39
$13 $24 $36
Pack Expected Value: $4.07
Deviation: ±$4.74
Packs per Box: 6

EV Trend

Percent Change:
— 0.00%
Dollar Change:
— $0.00

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Breeding Pool $1.18 $7.09 29.1% 29.1% Rare No
2 Sylvan Primordial $0.32 $1.90 7.8% 7.8% Rare No
3 Alpha Authority $0.28 $1.69 6.9% 6.9% Uncommon No
4 Illusionist's Bracers $0.24 $1.44 5.9% 5.9% Rare No
5 Gyre Sage $0.19 $1.15 4.7% 4.7% Rare No
6 Rapid Hybridization $0.15 $0.88 3.6% 3.6% Uncommon No
7 Ivy Lane Denizen $0.11 $0.67 2.7% 2.7% Common No
8 Simic Charm $0.10 $0.62 2.5% 2.5% Uncommon No
9 Glaring Spotlight $0.09 $0.53 2.2% 2.2% Rare No
10 Thespian's Stage $0.09 $0.53 2.2% 2.2% Rare No
11 Greenside Watcher $0.06 $0.39 1.6% 1.6% Common No
12 Bioshift $0.05 $0.32 1.3% 1.3% Common No
13 Prophetic Prism $0.04 $0.24 1.0% 1.0% Common No
14 Spell Rupture $0.04 $0.24 1.0% 1.0% Common No
15 Predator's Rapport $0.04 $0.25 1.0% 1.0% Common No
16 Aetherize $0.04 $0.21 0.9% 0.9% Uncommon No
17 Unexpected Results $0.04 $0.21 0.9% 0.9% Rare No
18 Simic Guildgate $0.03 $0.15 0.6% 0.6% Common No
19 Crocanura $0.03 $0.18 0.7% 0.7% Common No
20 Burst of Strength $0.03 $0.21 0.8% 0.8% Common No

These top 20 cards contribute 77.5% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.