GTC
Gatecrash
Gatecrash Prerelease Pack Gruul
▼
-0.57%
since last update
| Box EV $19.38 | Pack EV $3.23 | Packs per Box 6 | Last Updated May 29, 2025 |
Key Statistics
| Box Expected Value: |
$19.38
$12
$19
$27
|
|---|---|
| Pack Expected Value: |
$3.23
Deviation: ±$3.21
|
| Packs per Box: | 6 |
EV Trend
| Percent Change: |
▼
-0.57%
|
| Dollar Change: |
▼
$-0.11
|
Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales
| Sale Price (S): | $0.00 |
| Seller Fee: | -$0.00 (0.00%) |
| Net EV After Fees: | $0.00 |
Fee Visualization
Top-20 Value Contributors
| # | Card Name | $/Pack | $/Box | % Pack EV | % Box EV | Rarity | Foil? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stomping Ground | $0.75 | $4.47 | 23.1% | 23.1% | Rare | No |
| 2 | Sylvan Primordial | $0.30 | $1.79 | 9.2% | 9.2% | Rare | No |
| 3 | Alpha Authority | $0.27 | $1.62 | 8.4% | 8.4% | Uncommon | No |
| 4 | Illusionist's Bracers | $0.26 | $1.53 | 7.9% | 7.9% | Rare | No |
| 5 | Ivy Lane Denizen | $0.11 | $0.67 | 3.5% | 3.5% | Common | No |
| 6 | Thespian's Stage | $0.09 | $0.57 | 2.9% | 2.9% | Rare | No |
| 7 | Glaring Spotlight | $0.09 | $0.52 | 2.7% | 2.7% | Rare | No |
| 8 | Massive Raid | $0.07 | $0.39 | 2.0% | 2.0% | Common | No |
| 9 | Greenside Watcher | $0.07 | $0.40 | 2.0% | 2.0% | Common | No |
| 10 | Molten Primordial | $0.06 | $0.34 | 1.8% | 1.8% | Rare | No |
| 11 | Prophetic Prism | $0.04 | $0.23 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Common | No |
| 12 | Predator's Rapport | $0.04 | $0.24 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Common | No |
| 13 | Gruul Guildgate | $0.03 | $0.16 | 0.8% | 0.8% | Common | No |
| 14 | Naturalize | $0.03 | $0.20 | 1.0% | 1.0% | Common | No |
| 15 | Burst of Strength | $0.03 | $0.21 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Common | No |
| 16 | Skullcrack | $0.03 | $0.21 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Uncommon | No |
| 17 | Tower Defense | $0.03 | $0.18 | 0.9% | 0.9% | Uncommon | No |
| 18 | Gruul Ragebeast | $0.03 | $0.16 | 0.8% | 0.8% | Rare | No |
| 19 | Skinbrand Goblin | $0.03 | $0.15 | 0.8% | 0.8% | Common | No |
| 20 | Forced Adaptation | $0.03 | $0.16 | 0.8% | 0.8% | Common | No |
These top 20 cards contribute 73.3% of the box's total Expected Value.
Understanding EV Calculation & Trends
The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:
- Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
- Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
- Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
- Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices
Variance & Confidence
The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.
EV Trend Analysis
Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:
- Green values indicate an increase.
- Red values indicate a decrease.
- Gray indicates no significant change.
Note: EV is a statistical expectation based on probabilities and market data. It's a powerful tool for analysis, but actual results from opening a box will vary due to randomness. Prices are sourced from TCGPlayer Market Prices (Normal/Foil) - Stratified Sampling.