GTC

Gatecrash

Gatecrash Prerelease Pack Dimir

▼ -0.19%
since last update
Box EV $19.99 ±$8.69 Pack EV $3.33 ±$3.55 Packs per Box 6 Last Updated May 29, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $19.99
$11 $20 $29
Pack Expected Value: $3.33
Deviation: ±$3.55
Packs per Box: 6

EV Trend

Percent Change:
▼ -0.19%
Dollar Change:
▼ $-0.04

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Watery Grave $0.97 $5.82 29.1% 29.1% Rare No
2 Mind Grind $0.26 $1.56 7.8% 7.8% Rare No
3 Illusionist's Bracers $0.26 $1.59 7.9% 7.9% Rare No
4 Rapid Hybridization $0.15 $0.92 4.6% 4.6% Uncommon No
5 Glaring Spotlight $0.09 $0.51 2.6% 2.6% Rare No
6 Duskmantle Guildmage $0.09 $0.56 2.8% 2.8% Uncommon No
7 Thespian's Stage $0.08 $0.50 2.5% 2.5% Rare No
8 Whispering Madness $0.07 $0.44 2.2% 2.2% Rare No
9 Sepulchral Primordial $0.07 $0.44 2.2% 2.2% Rare No
10 Hands of Binding $0.06 $0.36 1.8% 1.8% Common No
11 Nightveil Specter $0.05 $0.29 1.4% 1.4% Rare No
12 Contaminated Ground $0.04 $0.25 1.3% 1.3% Common No
13 Spell Rupture $0.04 $0.24 1.2% 1.2% Common No
14 Dimir Guildgate $0.04 $0.23 1.2% 1.2% Common No
15 Prophetic Prism $0.04 $0.23 1.2% 1.2% Common No
16 Aetherize $0.04 $0.22 1.1% 1.1% Uncommon No
17 Psychic Strike $0.04 $0.23 1.1% 1.1% Common No
18 Shadow Alley Denizen $0.04 $0.21 1.1% 1.1% Common No
19 Gutter Skulk $0.03 $0.19 0.9% 0.9% Common No
20 Corpse Blockade $0.03 $0.17 0.9% 0.9% Common No

These top 20 cards contribute 74.8% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.