GTC

Gatecrash

Gatecrash Prerelease Pack Boros

▼ -0.38%
since last update
Box EV $23.53 ±$11.41 Pack EV $3.92 ±$4.66 Packs per Box 6 Last Updated May 29, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $23.53
$12 $24 $35
Pack Expected Value: $3.92
Deviation: ±$4.66
Packs per Box: 6

EV Trend

Percent Change:
▼ -0.38%
Dollar Change:
▼ $-0.09

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Sacred Foundry $1.26 $7.53 32.0% 32.0% Rare No
2 Boros Charm $0.51 $3.07 13.1% 13.1% Uncommon No
3 Legion Loyalist $0.33 $1.96 8.3% 8.3% Rare No
4 Illusionist's Bracers $0.25 $1.51 6.4% 6.4% Rare No
5 Aurelia, the Warleader $0.18 $1.08 4.6% 4.6% Mythic No
6 Angelic Skirmisher $0.12 $0.73 3.1% 3.1% Rare No
7 Thespian's Stage $0.10 $0.58 2.5% 2.5% Rare No
8 Glaring Spotlight $0.08 $0.49 2.1% 2.1% Rare No
9 Massive Raid $0.06 $0.39 1.6% 1.6% Common No
10 Molten Primordial $0.06 $0.34 1.4% 1.4% Rare No
11 Skullcrack $0.04 $0.22 0.9% 0.9% Uncommon No
12 Warmind Infantry $0.04 $0.24 1.0% 1.0% Common No
13 Prophetic Prism $0.04 $0.24 1.0% 1.0% Common No
14 Holy Mantle $0.04 $0.21 0.9% 0.9% Uncommon No
15 Razortip Whip $0.03 $0.17 0.7% 0.7% Common No
16 Court Street Denizen $0.03 $0.19 0.8% 0.8% Common No
17 Shattering Blow $0.03 $0.16 0.7% 0.7% Common No
18 Skyblinder Staff $0.03 $0.15 0.7% 0.7% Common No
19 Smite $0.03 $0.15 0.7% 0.7% Common No
20 Foundry Street Denizen $0.03 $0.18 0.8% 0.8% Common No

These top 20 cards contribute 83.3% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.