GTC

Gatecrash

Gatecrash Draft Booster

▼ -0.41%
since last update
Box EV $149.49 ±$28.53 Pack EV $4.15 ±$4.76 Packs per Box 36 Last Updated May 29, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $149.49
$121 $149 $178
Pack Expected Value: $4.15
Deviation: ±$4.76
Packs per Box: 36

EV Trend

Percent Change:
▼ -0.41%
Dollar Change:
▼ $-0.62

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Breeding Pool $0.36 $12.92 8.6% 8.6% Rare No
2 Sacred Foundry $0.28 $10.15 6.8% 6.8% Rare No
3 Watery Grave $0.25 $9.17 6.1% 6.1% Rare No
4 Godless Shrine $0.24 $8.61 5.8% 5.8% Rare No
5 Stomping Ground $0.22 $7.84 5.2% 5.2% Rare No
6 Boros Charm $0.16 $5.89 3.9% 3.9% Uncommon No
7 Crypt Ghast $0.11 $3.99 2.7% 2.7% Rare No
8 Alpha Authority $0.10 $3.72 2.5% 2.5% Uncommon No
9 Sylvan Primordial $0.08 $2.81 1.9% 1.9% Rare No
10 Legion Loyalist $0.08 $2.83 1.9% 1.9% Rare No
11 Mind Grind $0.07 $2.56 1.7% 1.7% Rare No
12 Lord of the Void $0.07 $2.61 1.8% 1.8% Mythic No
13 Hellkite Tyrant $0.06 $2.12 1.4% 1.4% Mythic No
14 Illusionist's Bracers $0.06 $2.34 1.6% 1.6% Rare No
15 Gyre Sage $0.05 $1.88 1.3% 1.3% Rare No
16 Rapid Hybridization $0.05 $1.96 1.3% 1.3% Uncommon No
17 Enter the Infinite $0.05 $1.68 1.1% 1.1% Mythic Yes
18 Ivy Lane Denizen $0.04 $1.48 1.0% 1.0% Common No
19 Aurelia, the Warleader $0.04 $1.57 1.1% 1.1% Mythic No
20 Blind Obedience $0.04 $1.30 0.9% 0.9% Rare No

These top 20 cards contribute 58.5% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.