GRN
Guilds of Ravnica
Guilds of Ravnica Draft Booster
▼
-0.40%
since last update
Box EV $105.99 | Pack EV $2.94 | Packs per Box 36 | Last Updated May 29, 2025 |
Key Statistics
Box Expected Value: |
$105.99
$81
$106
$131
|
---|---|
Pack Expected Value: |
$2.94
Deviation: ±$4.21
|
Packs per Box: | 36 |
EV Trend
Percent Change: |
▼
-0.40%
|
Dollar Change: |
▼
$-0.43
|
Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales
Sale Price (S): | $0.00 |
Seller Fee: | -$0.00 (0.00%) |
Net EV After Fees: | $0.00 |
Fee Visualization
Top-20 Value Contributors
# | Card Name | $/Pack | $/Box | % Pack EV | % Box EV | Rarity | Foil? |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sacred Foundry | $0.34 | $12.29 | 11.6% | 11.6% | Rare | No |
2 | Watery Grave | $0.22 | $7.84 | 7.4% | 7.4% | Rare | No |
3 | Steam Vents | $0.22 | $7.88 | 7.4% | 7.4% | Rare | No |
4 | Overgrown Tomb | $0.22 | $7.88 | 7.4% | 7.4% | Rare | No |
5 | Temple Garden | $0.19 | $6.74 | 6.3% | 6.3% | Rare | No |
6 | Underrealm Lich | $0.08 | $2.95 | 2.8% | 2.8% | Mythic | No |
7 | Electrostatic Field | $0.06 | $1.99 | 1.9% | 1.9% | Uncommon | No |
8 | Mnemonic Betrayal | $0.05 | $1.74 | 1.6% | 1.6% | Mythic | No |
9 | Beast Whisperer | $0.04 | $1.30 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Rare | No |
10 | Niv-Mizzet, Parun | $0.04 | $1.61 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Rare | No |
11 | Chromatic Lantern | $0.04 | $1.50 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Rare | No |
12 | Assassin's Trophy | $0.04 | $1.54 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Rare | No |
13 | Divine Visitation | $0.04 | $1.28 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Mythic | No |
14 | Doom Whisperer | $0.03 | $1.04 | 1.0% | 1.0% | Mythic | No |
15 | Vraska, Golgari Queen | $0.03 | $1.12 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Mythic | No |
16 | Vicious Rumors | $0.02 | $0.86 | 0.8% | 0.8% | Common | No |
17 | Runaway Steam-Kin | $0.02 | $0.61 | 0.6% | 0.6% | Rare | No |
18 | Circuitous Route | $0.02 | $0.88 | 0.8% | 0.8% | Uncommon | No |
19 | Etrata, the Silencer | $0.02 | $0.56 | 0.5% | 0.5% | Rare | No |
20 | Radical Idea | $0.01 | $0.30 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Common | No |
These top 20 cards contribute 58.4% of the box's total Expected Value.
Understanding EV Calculation & Trends
The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:
- Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
- Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
- Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
- Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices
Variance & Confidence
The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.
EV Trend Analysis
Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:
- Green values indicate an increase.
- Red values indicate a decrease.
- Gray indicates no significant change.
Note: EV is a statistical expectation based on probabilities and market data. It's a powerful tool for analysis, but actual results from opening a box will vary due to randomness. Prices are sourced from TCGPlayer Market Prices (Normal/Foil) - Stratified Sampling.