EMN

Eldritch Moon

Eldritch Moon Draft Booster

▼ -0.23%
since last update
Box EV $106.14 ±$22.94 Pack EV $2.95 ±$3.82 Packs per Box 36 Last Updated May 29, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $106.14
$83 $106 $129
Pack Expected Value: $2.95
Deviation: ±$3.82
Packs per Box: 36

EV Trend

Percent Change:
▼ -0.23%
Dollar Change:
▼ $-0.24

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Gisela, the Broken Blade // Brisela, Voice of Nightmares $0.24 $8.79 8.3% 8.3% Mythic No
2 Tree of Perdition $0.23 $8.41 7.9% 7.9% Mythic No
3 Emrakul, the Promised End $0.18 $6.47 6.1% 6.1% Mythic No
4 Sigarda's Aid $0.17 $6.10 5.8% 5.8% Rare No
5 Displace $0.07 $2.47 2.3% 2.3% Common No
6 Cryptbreaker $0.07 $2.43 2.3% 2.3% Rare Yes
7 Vampire Cutthroat $0.05 $1.98 1.9% 1.9% Uncommon No
8 Eternal Scourge $0.04 $1.45 1.4% 1.4% Rare No
9 Eldritch Evolution $0.04 $1.26 1.2% 1.2% Rare No
10 Ulrich of the Krallenhorde // Ulrich, Uncontested Alpha $0.04 $1.43 1.4% 1.4% Mythic No
11 Hanweir Garrison // Hanweir, the Writhing Township $0.04 $1.28 1.2% 1.2% Rare No
12 Splendid Reclamation $0.04 $1.50 1.4% 1.4% Rare No
13 Thalia, Heretic Cathar $0.04 $1.50 1.4% 1.4% Rare No
14 Bruna, the Fading Light // Brisela, Voice of Nightmares $0.04 $1.56 1.5% 1.5% Rare No
15 Geier Reach Sanitarium $0.04 $1.55 1.5% 1.5% Rare No
16 Hanweir Battlements // Hanweir, the Writhing Township $0.04 $1.49 1.4% 1.4% Rare No
17 Cryptolith Fragment // Aurora of Emrakul $0.03 $1.07 1.0% 1.0% Uncommon No
18 Cathar's Shield $0.03 $0.93 0.9% 0.9% Common No
19 Thermo-Alchemist $0.03 $1.09 1.0% 1.0% Common No
20 Waxing Moon $0.03 $0.98 0.9% 0.9% Common No

These top 20 cards contribute 50.6% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.