ELD
Throne of Eldraine
Throne of Eldraine Draft Booster
▲
+0.82%
since last update
Box EV $118.54 | Pack EV $3.29 | Packs per Box 36 | Last Updated Jun 7, 2025 |
Key Statistics
Box Expected Value: |
$118.54
$90
$119
$147
|
---|---|
Pack Expected Value: |
$3.29
Deviation: ±$4.77
|
Packs per Box: | 36 |
EV Trend
Percent Change: |
▲
+0.82%
|
Dollar Change: |
▲
+$0.96
|
Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales
Sale Price (S): | $0.00 |
Seller Fee: | -$0.00 (0.00%) |
Net EV After Fees: | $0.00 |
Fee Visualization
Top-20 Value Contributors
# | Card Name | $/Pack | $/Box | % Pack EV | % Box EV | Rarity | Foil? |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | The Great Henge | $0.42 | $15.21 | 12.8% | 12.8% | Mythic | Yes |
2 | Mystic Sanctuary | $0.17 | $5.99 | 5.1% | 5.1% | Common | No |
3 | Deafening Silence | $0.11 | $3.93 | 3.3% | 3.3% | Uncommon | No |
4 | Fabled Passage | $0.09 | $3.34 | 2.8% | 2.8% | Rare | No |
5 | Castle Locthwain | $0.07 | $2.52 | 2.1% | 2.1% | Rare | No |
6 | Cauldron Familiar | $0.07 | $2.45 | 2.1% | 2.1% | Uncommon | No |
7 | Witch's Cottage | $0.07 | $2.62 | 2.2% | 2.2% | Common | No |
8 | Castle Garenbrig | $0.07 | $2.68 | 2.3% | 2.3% | Rare | No |
9 | Embercleave | $0.07 | $2.45 | 2.1% | 2.1% | Mythic | No |
10 | Kenrith's Transformation | $0.06 | $2.08 | 1.8% | 1.8% | Uncommon | No |
11 | Wishclaw Talisman | $0.06 | $2.11 | 1.8% | 1.8% | Rare | No |
12 | Ayara, First of Locthwain | $0.05 | $1.80 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Rare | No |
13 | Oko, Thief of Crowns | $0.05 | $1.78 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Mythic | No |
14 | Brazen Borrower // Petty Theft | $0.04 | $1.29 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Mythic | No |
15 | Emry, Lurker of the Loch | $0.04 | $1.32 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Rare | No |
16 | Witch's Oven | $0.04 | $1.52 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Uncommon | No |
17 | Questing Beast | $0.04 | $1.36 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Mythic | No |
18 | The Magic Mirror | $0.04 | $1.29 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Mythic | No |
19 | Crashing Drawbridge | $0.03 | $0.98 | 0.8% | 0.8% | Common | No |
20 | Torbran, Thane of Red Fell | $0.03 | $0.97 | 0.8% | 0.8% | Rare | No |
These top 20 cards contribute 48.7% of the box's total Expected Value.
Understanding EV Calculation & Trends
The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:
- Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
- Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
- Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
- Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices
Variance & Confidence
The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.
EV Trend Analysis
Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:
- Green values indicate an increase.
- Red values indicate a decrease.
- Gray indicates no significant change.
Note: EV is a statistical expectation based on probabilities and market data. It's a powerful tool for analysis, but actual results from opening a box will vary due to randomness. Prices are sourced from TCGPlayer Market Prices (Normal/Foil) - Stratified Sampling.