ELD

Throne of Eldraine

Throne of Eldraine Draft Booster

+0.82%
since last update
Box EV $118.54 ±$28.62 Pack EV $3.29 ±$4.77 Packs per Box 36 Last Updated Jun 7, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $118.54
$90 $119 $147
Pack Expected Value: $3.29
Deviation: ±$4.77
Packs per Box: 36

EV Trend

Percent Change:
+0.82%
Dollar Change:
+$0.96

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 The Great Henge $0.42 $15.21 12.8% 12.8% Mythic Yes
2 Mystic Sanctuary $0.17 $5.99 5.1% 5.1% Common No
3 Deafening Silence $0.11 $3.93 3.3% 3.3% Uncommon No
4 Fabled Passage $0.09 $3.34 2.8% 2.8% Rare No
5 Castle Locthwain $0.07 $2.52 2.1% 2.1% Rare No
6 Cauldron Familiar $0.07 $2.45 2.1% 2.1% Uncommon No
7 Witch's Cottage $0.07 $2.62 2.2% 2.2% Common No
8 Castle Garenbrig $0.07 $2.68 2.3% 2.3% Rare No
9 Embercleave $0.07 $2.45 2.1% 2.1% Mythic No
10 Kenrith's Transformation $0.06 $2.08 1.8% 1.8% Uncommon No
11 Wishclaw Talisman $0.06 $2.11 1.8% 1.8% Rare No
12 Ayara, First of Locthwain $0.05 $1.80 1.5% 1.5% Rare No
13 Oko, Thief of Crowns $0.05 $1.78 1.5% 1.5% Mythic No
14 Brazen Borrower // Petty Theft $0.04 $1.29 1.1% 1.1% Mythic No
15 Emry, Lurker of the Loch $0.04 $1.32 1.1% 1.1% Rare No
16 Witch's Oven $0.04 $1.52 1.3% 1.3% Uncommon No
17 Questing Beast $0.04 $1.36 1.1% 1.1% Mythic No
18 The Magic Mirror $0.04 $1.29 1.1% 1.1% Mythic No
19 Crashing Drawbridge $0.03 $0.98 0.8% 0.8% Common No
20 Torbran, Thane of Red Fell $0.03 $0.97 0.8% 0.8% Rare No

These top 20 cards contribute 48.7% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.