DTK
Dragons of Tarkir
Dragons of Tarkir Seeded Prerelease Booster Silumgar
▲
+0.05%
since last update
| Box EV $28.25 | Pack EV $4.71 | Packs per Box 6 | Last Updated May 29, 2025 |
Key Statistics
| Box Expected Value: |
$28.25
$17
$28
$40
|
|---|---|
| Pack Expected Value: |
$4.71
Deviation: ±$4.66
|
| Packs per Box: | 6 |
EV Trend
| Percent Change: |
▲
+0.05%
|
| Dollar Change: |
▲
+$0.01
|
Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales
| Sale Price (S): | $0.00 |
| Seller Fee: | -$0.00 (0.00%) |
| Net EV After Fees: | $0.00 |
Fee Visualization
Top-20 Value Contributors
| # | Card Name | $/Pack | $/Box | % Pack EV | % Box EV | Rarity | Foil? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Unknown Card | $1.92 | $11.52 | 40.8% | 40.8% | Unknown | Yes |
| 2 | Unknown Card | $0.57 | $3.42 | 12.1% | 12.1% | Unknown | Yes |
| 3 | Unknown Card | $0.49 | $2.93 | 10.4% | 10.4% | Unknown | Yes |
| 4 | Unknown Card | $0.16 | $0.95 | 3.4% | 3.4% | Unknown | Yes |
| 5 | Unknown Card | $0.15 | $0.89 | 3.1% | 3.1% | Unknown | Yes |
| 6 | Unknown Card | $0.15 | $0.91 | 3.2% | 3.2% | Unknown | Yes |
| 7 | Gudul Lurker | $0.13 | $0.80 | 2.8% | 2.8% | Uncommon | No |
| 8 | Unknown Card | $0.11 | $0.65 | 2.3% | 2.3% | Unknown | Yes |
| 9 | Foul-Tongue Shriek | $0.05 | $0.31 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Common | No |
| 10 | Gravepurge | $0.05 | $0.30 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Common | No |
| 11 | Unknown Card | $0.05 | $0.29 | 1.0% | 1.0% | Unknown | Yes |
| 12 | Negate | $0.04 | $0.24 | 0.8% | 0.8% | Common | No |
| 13 | Acid-Spewer Dragon | $0.04 | $0.22 | 0.8% | 0.8% | Uncommon | No |
| 14 | Sidisi's Faithful | $0.04 | $0.22 | 0.8% | 0.8% | Common | No |
| 15 | Duress | $0.03 | $0.16 | 0.6% | 0.6% | Common | No |
| 16 | Silumgar's Scorn | $0.03 | $0.18 | 0.7% | 0.7% | Uncommon | No |
| 17 | Silumgar Butcher | $0.03 | $0.16 | 0.6% | 0.6% | Common | No |
| 18 | Ruthless Deathfang | $0.03 | $0.19 | 0.7% | 0.7% | Uncommon | No |
| 19 | Silumgar Monument | $0.03 | $0.19 | 0.7% | 0.7% | Uncommon | No |
| 20 | Virulent Plague | $0.03 | $0.17 | 0.6% | 0.6% | Uncommon | No |
These top 20 cards contribute 87.5% of the box's total Expected Value.
Understanding EV Calculation & Trends
The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:
- Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
- Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
- Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
- Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices
Variance & Confidence
The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.
EV Trend Analysis
Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:
- Green values indicate an increase.
- Red values indicate a decrease.
- Gray indicates no significant change.
Note: EV is a statistical expectation based on probabilities and market data. It's a powerful tool for analysis, but actual results from opening a box will vary due to randomness. Prices are sourced from TCGPlayer Market Prices (Normal/Foil) - Stratified Sampling.