DTK
Dragons of Tarkir
Dragons of Tarkir Seeded Prerelease Booster Ojutai
▲
+0.38%
since last update
Box EV $12.85 | Pack EV $2.14 | Packs per Box 6 | Last Updated May 29, 2025 |
Key Statistics
Box Expected Value: |
$12.85
$10
$13
$16
|
---|---|
Pack Expected Value: |
$2.14
Deviation: ±$1.28
|
Packs per Box: | 6 |
EV Trend
Percent Change: |
▲
+0.38%
|
Dollar Change: |
▲
+$0.05
|
Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales
Sale Price (S): | $0.00 |
Seller Fee: | -$0.00 (0.00%) |
Net EV After Fees: | $0.00 |
Fee Visualization
Top-20 Value Contributors
# | Card Name | $/Pack | $/Box | % Pack EV | % Box EV | Rarity | Foil? |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Unknown Card | $0.34 | $2.04 | 15.8% | 15.8% | Unknown | Yes |
2 | Unknown Card | $0.22 | $1.34 | 10.4% | 10.4% | Unknown | Yes |
3 | Unknown Card | $0.18 | $1.09 | 8.5% | 8.5% | Unknown | Yes |
4 | Gudul Lurker | $0.15 | $0.91 | 7.1% | 7.1% | Uncommon | No |
5 | Unknown Card | $0.07 | $0.42 | 3.3% | 3.3% | Unknown | Yes |
6 | Unknown Card | $0.07 | $0.43 | 3.3% | 3.3% | Unknown | Yes |
7 | Unknown Card | $0.06 | $0.36 | 2.8% | 2.8% | Unknown | Yes |
8 | Ojutai's Breath | $0.05 | $0.28 | 2.2% | 2.2% | Common | No |
9 | Unknown Card | $0.05 | $0.29 | 2.3% | 2.3% | Unknown | Yes |
10 | Strongarm Monk | $0.05 | $0.29 | 2.2% | 2.2% | Uncommon | No |
11 | Unknown Card | $0.05 | $0.28 | 2.1% | 2.1% | Unknown | Yes |
12 | Battle Mastery | $0.05 | $0.31 | 2.4% | 2.4% | Uncommon | No |
13 | Dance of the Skywise | $0.04 | $0.21 | 1.6% | 1.6% | Uncommon | No |
14 | Territorial Roc | $0.04 | $0.25 | 1.9% | 1.9% | Common | No |
15 | Negate | $0.04 | $0.25 | 2.0% | 2.0% | Common | No |
16 | Orator of Ojutai | $0.04 | $0.22 | 1.7% | 1.7% | Uncommon | No |
17 | Artful Maneuver | $0.03 | $0.15 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Common | No |
18 | Contradict | $0.03 | $0.15 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Common | No |
19 | Zephyr Scribe | $0.03 | $0.15 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Common | No |
20 | Ojutai Monument | $0.03 | $0.20 | 1.6% | 1.6% | Uncommon | No |
These top 20 cards contribute 75.0% of the box's total Expected Value.
Understanding EV Calculation & Trends
The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:
- Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
- Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
- Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
- Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices
Variance & Confidence
The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.
EV Trend Analysis
Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:
- Green values indicate an increase.
- Red values indicate a decrease.
- Gray indicates no significant change.
Note: EV is a statistical expectation based on probabilities and market data. It's a powerful tool for analysis, but actual results from opening a box will vary due to randomness. Prices are sourced from TCGPlayer Market Prices (Normal/Foil) - Stratified Sampling.