DTK

Dragons of Tarkir

Dragons of Tarkir Seeded Prerelease Booster Ojutai

+0.38%
since last update
Box EV $12.85 ±$3.13 Pack EV $2.14 ±$1.28 Packs per Box 6 Last Updated May 29, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $12.85
$10 $13 $16
Pack Expected Value: $2.14
Deviation: ±$1.28
Packs per Box: 6

EV Trend

Percent Change:
+0.38%
Dollar Change:
+$0.05

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Unknown Card $0.34 $2.04 15.8% 15.8% Unknown Yes
2 Unknown Card $0.22 $1.34 10.4% 10.4% Unknown Yes
3 Unknown Card $0.18 $1.09 8.5% 8.5% Unknown Yes
4 Gudul Lurker $0.15 $0.91 7.1% 7.1% Uncommon No
5 Unknown Card $0.07 $0.42 3.3% 3.3% Unknown Yes
6 Unknown Card $0.07 $0.43 3.3% 3.3% Unknown Yes
7 Unknown Card $0.06 $0.36 2.8% 2.8% Unknown Yes
8 Ojutai's Breath $0.05 $0.28 2.2% 2.2% Common No
9 Unknown Card $0.05 $0.29 2.3% 2.3% Unknown Yes
10 Strongarm Monk $0.05 $0.29 2.2% 2.2% Uncommon No
11 Unknown Card $0.05 $0.28 2.1% 2.1% Unknown Yes
12 Battle Mastery $0.05 $0.31 2.4% 2.4% Uncommon No
13 Dance of the Skywise $0.04 $0.21 1.6% 1.6% Uncommon No
14 Territorial Roc $0.04 $0.25 1.9% 1.9% Common No
15 Negate $0.04 $0.25 2.0% 2.0% Common No
16 Orator of Ojutai $0.04 $0.22 1.7% 1.7% Uncommon No
17 Artful Maneuver $0.03 $0.15 1.2% 1.2% Common No
18 Contradict $0.03 $0.15 1.2% 1.2% Common No
19 Zephyr Scribe $0.03 $0.15 1.2% 1.2% Common No
20 Ojutai Monument $0.03 $0.20 1.6% 1.6% Uncommon No

These top 20 cards contribute 75.0% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.