DTK
Dragons of Tarkir
Dragons of Tarkir Seeded Prerelease Booster Kolaghan
▼
-0.71%
since last update
| Box EV $26.45 | Pack EV $4.41 | Packs per Box 6 | Last Updated May 29, 2025 |
Key Statistics
| Box Expected Value: |
$26.45
$19
$26
$34
|
|---|---|
| Pack Expected Value: |
$4.41
Deviation: ±$2.92
|
| Packs per Box: | 6 |
EV Trend
| Percent Change: |
▼
-0.71%
|
| Dollar Change: |
▼
$-0.19
|
Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales
| Sale Price (S): | $0.00 |
| Seller Fee: | -$0.00 (0.00%) |
| Net EV After Fees: | $0.00 |
Fee Visualization
Top-20 Value Contributors
| # | Card Name | $/Pack | $/Box | % Pack EV | % Box EV | Rarity | Foil? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Impact Tremors | $0.93 | $5.57 | 21.1% | 21.1% | Common | No |
| 2 | Unknown Card | $0.65 | $3.92 | 14.8% | 14.8% | Unknown | Yes |
| 3 | Sarkhan's Triumph | $0.54 | $3.26 | 12.3% | 12.3% | Uncommon | No |
| 4 | Unknown Card | $0.42 | $2.54 | 9.6% | 9.6% | Unknown | Yes |
| 5 | Unknown Card | $0.38 | $2.30 | 8.7% | 8.7% | Unknown | Yes |
| 6 | Unknown Card | $0.25 | $1.47 | 5.6% | 5.6% | Unknown | Yes |
| 7 | Unknown Card | $0.11 | $0.65 | 2.5% | 2.5% | Unknown | Yes |
| 8 | Unknown Card | $0.08 | $0.47 | 1.8% | 1.8% | Unknown | Yes |
| 9 | Unknown Card | $0.07 | $0.40 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Unknown | Yes |
| 10 | Unknown Card | $0.07 | $0.40 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Unknown | Yes |
| 11 | Rending Volley | $0.05 | $0.31 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Uncommon | No |
| 12 | Foul-Tongue Shriek | $0.05 | $0.32 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Common | No |
| 13 | Gravepurge | $0.05 | $0.32 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Common | No |
| 14 | Dragon Fodder | $0.04 | $0.22 | 0.8% | 0.8% | Common | No |
| 15 | Kolaghan Monument | $0.04 | $0.23 | 0.9% | 0.9% | Uncommon | No |
| 16 | Duress | $0.03 | $0.17 | 0.6% | 0.6% | Common | No |
| 17 | Virulent Plague | $0.03 | $0.18 | 0.7% | 0.7% | Uncommon | No |
| 18 | Tormenting Voice | $0.03 | $0.20 | 0.7% | 0.7% | Common | No |
| 19 | Roast | $0.03 | $0.19 | 0.7% | 0.7% | Uncommon | No |
| 20 | Swift Warkite | $0.03 | $0.15 | 0.6% | 0.6% | Uncommon | No |
These top 20 cards contribute 88.0% of the box's total Expected Value.
Understanding EV Calculation & Trends
The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:
- Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
- Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
- Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
- Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices
Variance & Confidence
The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.
EV Trend Analysis
Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:
- Green values indicate an increase.
- Red values indicate a decrease.
- Gray indicates no significant change.
Note: EV is a statistical expectation based on probabilities and market data. It's a powerful tool for analysis, but actual results from opening a box will vary due to randomness. Prices are sourced from TCGPlayer Market Prices (Normal/Foil) - Stratified Sampling.