DTK
Dragons of Tarkir
Dragons of Tarkir Draft Booster
▼
-0.34%
since last update
| Box EV $97.80 | Pack EV $2.72 | Packs per Box 36 | Last Updated May 29, 2025 |
Key Statistics
| Box Expected Value: |
$97.80
$78
$98
$117
|
|---|---|
| Pack Expected Value: |
$2.72
Deviation: ±$3.28
|
| Packs per Box: | 36 |
EV Trend
| Percent Change: |
▼
-0.34%
|
| Dollar Change: |
▼
$-0.33
|
Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales
| Sale Price (S): | $0.00 |
| Seller Fee: | -$0.00 (0.00%) |
| Net EV After Fees: | $0.00 |
Fee Visualization
Top-20 Value Contributors
| # | Card Name | $/Pack | $/Box | % Pack EV | % Box EV | Rarity | Foil? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Impact Tremors | $0.22 | $8.06 | 8.2% | 8.2% | Common | No |
| 2 | Sarkhan Unbroken | $0.19 | $6.68 | 6.8% | 6.8% | Mythic | No |
| 3 | Dragon Tempest | $0.12 | $4.28 | 4.4% | 4.4% | Rare | No |
| 4 | Sidisi, Undead Vizier | $0.11 | $3.84 | 3.9% | 3.9% | Rare | No |
| 5 | Sarkhan's Triumph | $0.10 | $3.65 | 3.7% | 3.7% | Uncommon | No |
| 6 | Dragonlord Dromoka | $0.09 | $3.14 | 3.2% | 3.2% | Mythic | No |
| 7 | Dragonlord Kolaghan | $0.08 | $3.03 | 3.1% | 3.1% | Mythic | No |
| 8 | Collected Company | $0.05 | $1.97 | 2.0% | 2.0% | Rare | No |
| 9 | Narset Transcendent | $0.04 | $1.38 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Mythic | No |
| 10 | Shaman of Forgotten Ways | $0.04 | $1.51 | 1.6% | 1.6% | Mythic | No |
| 11 | Thunderbreak Regent | $0.04 | $1.41 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Rare | No |
| 12 | Haven of the Spirit Dragon | $0.04 | $1.42 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Rare | No |
| 13 | Dragonlord Atarka | $0.04 | $1.47 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Mythic | No |
| 14 | Savage Ventmaw | $0.03 | $1.14 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Uncommon | No |
| 15 | Sight of the Scalelords | $0.03 | $1.12 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Uncommon | No |
| 16 | Gudul Lurker | $0.03 | $1.20 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Uncommon | No |
| 17 | Dragonlord Silumgar | $0.03 | $1.26 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Mythic | No |
| 18 | Sunscorch Regent | $0.03 | $0.90 | 0.9% | 0.9% | Rare | No |
| 19 | Secure the Wastes | $0.03 | $1.11 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Rare | No |
| 20 | Rending Volley | $0.02 | $0.87 | 0.9% | 0.9% | Uncommon | No |
These top 20 cards contribute 50.6% of the box's total Expected Value.
Understanding EV Calculation & Trends
The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:
- Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
- Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
- Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
- Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices
Variance & Confidence
The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.
EV Trend Analysis
Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:
- Green values indicate an increase.
- Red values indicate a decrease.
- Gray indicates no significant change.
Note: EV is a statistical expectation based on probabilities and market data. It's a powerful tool for analysis, but actual results from opening a box will vary due to randomness. Prices are sourced from TCGPlayer Market Prices (Normal/Foil) - Stratified Sampling.