DOM

Dominaria

Dominaria Prerelease Promo Pack

-0.60%
since last update
Box EV $25.31 ±$9.77 Pack EV $4.22 ±$3.99 Packs per Box 6 Last Updated May 29, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $25.31
$16 $25 $35
Pack Expected Value: $4.22
Deviation: ±$3.99
Packs per Box: 6

EV Trend

Percent Change:
-0.60%
Dollar Change:
$-0.15

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Unknown Card $0.27 $1.61 6.4% 6.4% Unknown Yes
2 Unknown Card $0.24 $1.42 5.6% 5.6% Unknown Yes
3 Unknown Card $0.21 $1.23 4.9% 4.9% Unknown Yes
4 Unknown Card $0.21 $1.26 5.0% 5.0% Unknown Yes
5 Unknown Card $0.13 $0.80 3.2% 3.2% Unknown Yes
6 Unknown Card $0.12 $0.74 2.9% 2.9% Unknown Yes
7 Unknown Card $0.12 $0.71 2.8% 2.8% Unknown Yes
8 Unknown Card $0.12 $0.73 2.9% 2.9% Unknown Yes
9 Unknown Card $0.12 $0.71 2.8% 2.8% Unknown Yes
10 Unknown Card $0.11 $0.69 2.7% 2.7% Unknown Yes
11 Unknown Card $0.11 $0.65 2.6% 2.6% Unknown Yes
12 Unknown Card $0.11 $0.64 2.5% 2.5% Unknown Yes
13 Unknown Card $0.11 $0.65 2.6% 2.6% Unknown Yes
14 Unknown Card $0.10 $0.58 2.3% 2.3% Unknown Yes
15 Unknown Card $0.10 $0.57 2.3% 2.3% Unknown Yes
16 Unknown Card $0.10 $0.61 2.4% 2.4% Unknown Yes
17 Unknown Card $0.10 $0.60 2.4% 2.4% Unknown Yes
18 Unknown Card $0.10 $0.59 2.3% 2.3% Unknown Yes
19 Unknown Card $0.09 $0.52 2.1% 2.1% Unknown Yes
20 Unknown Card $0.08 $0.49 1.9% 1.9% Unknown Yes

These top 20 cards contribute 62.5% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.