DKA

Dark Ascension

Dark Ascension Draft Booster

▼ -0.01%
since last update
Box EV $116.71 ±$13.22 Pack EV $3.24 ±$2.20 Packs per Box 36 Last Updated May 29, 2025

Key Statistics

Box Expected Value: $116.71
$103 $117 $130
Pack Expected Value: $3.24
Deviation: ±$2.20
Packs per Box: 36

EV Trend

Percent Change:
▼ -0.01%
Dollar Change:
▼ $-0.02

Fee AnalysisFor TCGPlayer sales

Sale Price (S): $0.00
Seller Fee: -$0.00 (0.00%)
Net EV After Fees: $0.00
Fee Visualization

Top-20 Value Contributors

#Card Name$/Pack$/Box% Pack EV% Box EVRarityFoil?
1 Artful Dodge $0.17 $6.02 5.2% 5.2% Common No
2 Mikaeus, the Unhallowed $0.12 $4.48 3.8% 3.8% Mythic No
3 Gravecrawler $0.11 $3.85 3.3% 3.3% Rare No
4 Stromkirk Captain $0.08 $2.77 2.4% 2.4% Uncommon Yes
5 Undying Evil $0.08 $3.06 2.6% 2.6% Common No
6 Young Wolf $0.08 $2.81 2.4% 2.4% Common No
7 Faithless Looting $0.08 $2.71 2.3% 2.3% Common No
8 Grafdigger's Cage $0.07 $2.37 2.0% 2.0% Rare No
9 Immerwolf $0.06 $2.15 1.8% 1.8% Uncommon No
10 Elbrus, the Binding Blade // Withengar Unbound $0.06 $2.11 1.8% 1.8% Mythic No
11 Thought Scour $0.05 $1.83 1.6% 1.6% Common No
12 Geralf's Messenger $0.05 $1.65 1.4% 1.4% Rare No
13 Diregraf Captain $0.04 $1.45 1.3% 1.3% Uncommon No
14 Zombie Apocalypse $0.04 $1.27 1.1% 1.1% Rare No
15 Strangleroot Geist $0.04 $1.29 1.1% 1.1% Uncommon No
16 Tragic Slip $0.04 $1.36 1.2% 1.2% Common No
17 Sorin, Lord of Innistrad $0.04 $1.38 1.2% 1.2% Mythic No
18 Increasing Confusion $0.04 $1.33 1.1% 1.1% Rare No
19 Curse of Bloodletting $0.04 $1.38 1.2% 1.2% Rare No
20 Scorned Villager // Moonscarred Werewolf $0.03 $1.00 0.9% 0.9% Common No

These top 20 cards contribute 39.6% of the box's total Expected Value.

Understanding EV Calculation & Trends

The Expected Value (EV) is calculated using a sophisticated stratified sampling simulation. This involves:

  • Breaking down potential box contents into distinct groups (strata)
  • Running hundreds of thousands of simulated pack openings
  • Using an adaptive sampling process to ensure sufficient simulations per group for statistical accuracy
  • Calculating the weighted average value based on current market prices

Variance & Confidence

The **Standard Deviation (±)** represents the typical fluctuation you might see in the value of individual boxes due to pack-to-pack randomness. While the simulation provides an estimate of the *average* outcome (EV), actual results will vary.

EV Trend Analysis

Trend values reflect the change in Box EV since the last data update:

  • Green values indicate an increase.
  • Red values indicate a decrease.
  • Gray indicates no significant change.